- Page 3/4
- Next Page
PARTIAL SELL
The Boeing 737 tragic crash on Sunday in Ethiopia. Sell after owning it a few years? You likely have enjoyed good gains, so take some profits and wait. Boeing will likely overcome the current drop in stock price in time, as they have before. We still need to hear the results of the airplane's black box. It's a great company with fine engineers.
Transportation
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 08/18, Up 23%) 75% of earnings come from regulated utilities. 25% are renewable power under long-term contracts. Over 90% of earnings come from the U.S. paying dividends in USD. Pays a 4.5% yield that they can increase 10% annually because of a project backlog. They have an equity interest in Atlantic Yield which owns renewable power assets mostly in the U.S.--this gives AQN a foray to grow internationally.
electrical utilities
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 08/18, Down 24%) A defence company with 25% of revenues from aerospace. They make business jets. Their multiple shrunk from 20x to 14x earnings in the past year, which is now attractive. Short-term their margins will slip from 17% last year to 5-6% this year. She expects margins to pick up next year as the planes ramp up. An IT services purchase on the defense side needs time to intergrate. Their marine division accounts for a quarter of their profits. They're in the process of refurbishing that fleet. Today, this stock is attractive. They increase their dividend 10% last week.
transportation equip & components
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 08/18, Up 5%) Has long owned this. 58% of revenues come from emerging markets where there's stronger demand for consumer packaged goods. However, the economies of emerging economies can go up and down. They want to grow their presence in EM. Pays a 3.3% yield. They're making small acqusitions in personal care which boasts higher margins.
food processing
DON'T BUY
With a 20-year horizon It's on her watch list, but they had a few disappointing quarters. They've always traded at a premium to peers in America. DOL has grown their basket by gradually raising item prices. She wants to see a turnaround in traffic or how they plan their growth in the next few quarters.
Consumer Products
BUY
She's buying this now. Pricing is leveraged to potash prices which were stronger than expected in 2018. This year, there should be supply coming onstream from the Russian producers. NTR has the excess supply to bring onstream if they wish in the coming years. Pricing has been stronger in China and Brazil. It's up to NTR to manage demand and supply and pricing; last year they stumbled and demand got killed. They generate a lot of free cash flow and are selling assets. After the merger, they have to sell assets which they will use to grow their retail network across North America and Australia. They've been increasing the dividend, which is 3.2%, and buying back stock.
agriculture
COMMENT
Okay to buy Canadian telcos with stagnant interest rates? And the effect of Huawei on telcos? Canadian telcos are defensive income stocks, sensitive to interest rate moves. They tend to raise their yield every year by around 5%. These kinds of stock belong in a portfolio (she own utilities instead of telcos). The telcos have done well--they keep adding subscribers, perhaps because customers are buying more than one phone and immigrants are fuelling demand. BCE and Telus are exposed to Huawei equipment, but not at their cores. She doesn't prefer any of the telcos, which are in an oligopoly which won't change.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
She'd wait for a pullback. Likes their longterm fundamentals. They have 20% in emerging markets where they are building water infrastructure. They're enjoying good growth in American cities. They made a few acquisitions in water metering to track water spillage, which is a big issue in this business.
environmental
TOP PICK
The leader in Canadian seniors housing, a fragmented sector so there's room for growth. CSH holds 10% of this market. She likes this sector for the aging demographics that will need more care. CSH has a good pipeline of projects. Occupancy is 91% and they target 95%. They have started to market their services. Top management. (Analysts’ price target is $16.65)
property mngmnt
investment
TOP PICK
The Canadian banks' multiples have contracted and now look attractive. RY grew their earnings 17% last year and the stock is up only 1%. They had that weird Q4 quarter, but they saw decent loan growth. They increased their dividend 9% and grown their book value. Payout ratio is 45%. They can increase their dividend and earnings. (Analysts’ price target is $109.65)
banks
TOP PICK
A diversified industrial company. They plan to spin off divisions Carriere Air Conditioning and Otis Elevators as standalone entities, but keep their aerospace division. The companies would become more nimble to pursue opportunities. Attractively valued now and pays a yield over 2% that will grow. (Analysts’ price target is $140.48)
mngmnt
diversified
