DON'T BUY

It has negative equity of $12 billion. It trades on air. There are better opportunities elsewhere. Don't touch it.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

In March it was down to $90. Since then it has done nothing but go up. He has a model price of $131.66, or a 14% upside. Any sort of pull back you want to buy it. He would love to buy it at $87.

HOLD

He would hold it. It is a great divergence between what the market is doing and what the fundamentals are saying. Everyone is predicting doom and gloom in the auto sector. They are right in the heart of Canadian auto parts. His model price is 102% from where it is. Once we get clarity on NAFTA and where we are in the auto sector, he would look at it.

DON'T BUY

They are not even making their dividend. There is a reverse compounding thing going on where your book value is being eroded. It is a losing proposition.

WATCH

His model price is $42.16 or an 8% upside. It is an interest sensitive. Only buy it at the $36 level. It should go 10 or 11% lower here.

DON'T BUY

$59.74 is his model price and it is at 61% above that. If you ever got a correction or bad news it would be worthy of consideration.

COMMENT

Model price is 63.70 so it is 12% overvalued. When it comes back to the model price he would be a buyer.

DON'T BUY

He thinks it goes to $34.84. Once they fold in the income fund the balance sheet will get a lot bigger, which is negative for the stock. With a 6% yield, it is all their income. There is better value elsewhere.

TOP PICK

If it got into the NVDA business he could not calculate what it would be worth. The model price is $82.64, or a 70% upside. The stock is much unloved and has a monopoly position. He is interested in catalysts that might come along. (Analysts’ target: $56.45).

TOP PICK

He has been recommending this for years. It is finally hitting new highs. His model price is $58.76 or a 24% upside. It is finally getting its mo-jo. (Analysts’ target: $50.04).

TOP PICK

Management is really up there in terms of reputation. Model price is $32.70 or a 5% upside. They increased their dividend a month and a half ago. There is still more dividend growth coming. The financials need to lead the bull market higher. (Analysts’ target: $34.39).

COMMENT

Market Outlook. The US economy is doing well. The Canadian market is doing good. So, in general North America is doing very well. The yield curve is flat saying that there is no going to be a substantial amount of growth and relatively low inflation. He thinks that the Fed is increasing the rate but also reducing its balance sheet (down by $200 billion by the end of the year). This in the end is tighter monetary policy that is having an effect in the emerging markets. He thinks the Fed could not be doing both things at the same time. In 2019 the European Community and the European Central Bank thinking about stopping EQ there. He is not negative on the stock market but doesn’t see huge runs also.

COMMENT

Ford is a value play. Dividend yield of 5.7% and trades at 7 times earnings. The trouble with the auto industry is that the stocks have been cheap for a long time and it is difficult to figure out what the catalyst would be to move them. He thinks the industry is in disruption in some ways.

COMMENT

How do you see gold? Real rates are positive in the US now and that is negative for gold. Gold had a run up because people believe that QE was going to lead to inflation and that didn’t happen. Gold is also now competing with other assets like Bitcoin for that preservation of value idea. There are other better places to put your money.

COMMENT

What happen to shares when they are bought back? Share buybacks are an economic decision that companies make. The problem with share buybacks is that sometimes companies use debt. When they buyback the shares companies retire them basically. If companies do it when they don’t have a better place to invest their money other than paying a dividend they run earnings per share higher basically.