WATCH

You see companies cutting back on exploration budgets. This stock may have bottomed out here. It is building a base for the future when the environment gets better. He would not buy it but it might have trading potential over the next year. Conditions can’t get much worse. Watching it before getting back in.

DON'T BUY

They recently completed their IPO. It struggle a bit out of the gate and has treaded water ever since. It is a fashion brand that has been out for long time. He does not see the growth here. There are a lot of better places to be in retail. Where is the expansion going to come from. He does not see the brand translating well into the US.

PARTIAL BUY

At these levels it is a great company for the long term. He owned it at one time. There is still room here. You end up kicking yourself for always thinking they are bit expensive. With housing coming back in the US, they are going to put some money back into their house. He would establish a half position and then see how it goes.

DON'T BUY

It is a great company. He just does not see how they can grow into their valuation and make money for shareholders. He would have said the same thing last year. Yet their subscriber numbers continue to grow. It is not growth at a reasonable price. AAPL-Q is at 15 times earnings and 12 if you take the cash off the balance sheet. AAPL-Q is still his number one holding in his portfolios.

WATCH

He bought it at this level 3 or 4 year ago. The growth has stopped. The HEP C drugs caused it to run as well but they cured people so it was not going to lend itself to a lot of recurring revenue. The worst is behind them. They have other drugs in HIV and Oncology that could get the growth back up.

BUY

Canadian banks. You should have a minimum of 20 stocks for diversification’s sake. Put at most 2% into any one bank. You would not go wrong buying the top five. The tops are TD-T and CM-T.

BUY

He would buy it at this price. He has owned it all year. They have continued to grow. They have expanded production again this year even if not at the same pace. They will be flat on Natural gas for the next year because there is not a lot of demand for more. They will change from a pure growth company to one that will pay a dividend – about 1.5%. This is still a good bet for the long run.

DON'T BUY

He wishes he was as positive on the long term prospects as with TOU-T. They sold some assets but he would stay on the sidelines with CVE-T.

DON'T BUY

SU-T vs. CNQ-T. SU-T is a great company. With CNQ-T they are the two big guys in the field. He owns neither one but he would lean a little more to CNQ-T because of better valuation. The yield is not as great but they have more potential to bump the dividend up. Unit we get a better energy environment in Canada the growth will be limited.

DON'T BUY

SU-T vs. CNQ-T. SU-T is a great company. With CNQ-T they are the two big guys in the field. He owns neither one but he would lean a little more to CNQ-T because of better valuation. The yield is not as great but they have more potential to bump the dividend up. Unit we get a better energy environment in Canada the growth will be limited.

DON'T BUY

He never takes gold stock questions and does not own them. In 1980 gold was at $800 and the Dow was at 800 points. The Dow crossed $24k today while gold is hoping to get past $1300. He does not see the justification. He has ever owned any gold stocks.

BUY

It is a two horse race on the retail side in the US with AMZN-Q. WMT-N has the bricks and mortar in place and it is easier to build out that online. Their web site has become far more compelling. It has crept up in price and earnings multiple but it is still cheap. Especially compared to AMZN-Q.

N/A

Market. Round numbers attract a lot of attention (DOW) but the market in the US is moving higher because the economy is growing beyond a 3% clip as it is here in Canada. Employment data is strong. TSX profits are growing at an 18% clip compared to a year ago. In the medium term, he expects stock prices to move higher. There is a tug of war over seasonality with December being one of the most positive months and the fact that markets are running pretty hot and are overbought. How that resolves in the short term is anyone’s call. In the long term, we are in the late stages of an economic cycle (9th year). He is looking at any number of indicators to know when to take a defensive position. NAFTA is going to work out. He thinks it will survive with a lot of noise along the way. We are getting close to the finish line on the US tax cuts. He thinks there is some good news coming.

PARTIAL SELL

It has had a remarkable run over the last 10 years. It has doubled. This is mostly due to the management team. It has the highest return on equity of the group. It has re-rated higher. It has gone from being a small regional bank to one of the big boys. It is now one of the big-six banks (formerly 5). He would be tempted to take partial profits. There is nothing wrong with it operationally.

BUY

Best known for hot water heater rentals. He likes the business and its stable recurring revenue model, high profitability and a respectable, growing dividend yield. The valuation keeps him away from it and he would wait for more of a pull back to get interested in it. This is not a pro-growth stock and he is currently positioning more for growth.