COMMENT
Market. The key to protecting capital and ultimately making some money is to stay diversified, especially in small and mid-caps. He is a little concerned about Monday where he could see a crash scenario.
COMMENT
Gold stocks generally have under performed bullion for quite a period of time. There will be a time to come back into precious metals but we need to wait until there is more clarity by the Fed as to what they are going to do regarding further qualitative easing. Doesn't expect this to come anytime soon, certainly not before we see some decline in inflation and more economic pain.
DON'T BUY
Australian-based gold miner.. This company has had some operating issues over the last few months.
WATCH
Very interesting company. Insiders have been buying. They are in the middle of bidding on cleanup and soil remediation of the Kuwait oil fields. The outcome should be known sometime in November so you have some time. Should they win one of these contracts, the stock would go materially higher. A “wait and see” situation.
DON'T BUY
A solid company, but are at risk of China's export quotas changing. This would be his concern at the current time. They only make their margins on exported material.
DON'T BUY
Has a development project in Alaska. Because it is going to require such a large amount of CapX to bring the project into development, he would stay away. It is at least 3 years out from ever being able to come into production. Has a small short position on this one.
DON'T BUY
Small-cap gold producer expanding their resource in the Rice Lake area. He is currently short this one. Looks cheap on a resource bases but have had some operating problems and missed a couple quarters. If you want exposure here, he would recommend Sandstorm Resources (SSL-X).
COMMENT
Gold ETF or gold companies? He currently likes physical gold rather than the underlying stocks. He has a kind of bearish near-term view on gold because he doesn't think we are at that point yet where we are going to see any more monetary stimulus. When that time comes, possibly in the next 6 to 12 months, feels that gold could really take off.
COMMENT
Uranium. He has been negative on uranium since the Japanese earthquake and he hasn't seen any reason to change his view yet. At some point, emerging-market demands for nuclear reactors will boost the sect or. Current demand is still largely driven by developed economies.
DON'T BUY
He was short this as the disclosure issues really bothered him, and they still do. Stay away.
COMMENT
5 Stage Elliott Wave Theory. In a bull market, you have an advance of 5 waves and this is followed by an ABC correction that is usually short, relatively mild and fast. This is where we are now. At the peak, investors are most bullish but when you get to the bottom at the C, there is always fear and panic. He feels we have now hit our low. The current low is at the support of the 2nd peak so he is expecting to find a lot of support.
COMMENT
A number of Dow industrial stocks, including this one, Had an intraday reversal. (Early weakness followed by strength during the day.)
COMMENT
Stock has completed an ABC formation and he is sure it will have a bounce. He would suggest that you don't go too much overweight in commodities. If you want to get involved in the recovery, you'll probably see money going into stocks that had been really beaten up. This would include technology and financials.
COMMENT
Darvas Box? This is just a matter of studying a list of the 52-week highs. He does this a lot but he wants to see those that have just hit the 52-week high because the 1st one is probably not going to be the last one.
COMMENT
Has had a linear up trend from 09 but finally broke back down. Expects it will rally back. The UP is probably over but doesn't expect it will collapse.