Stock Opinions by Rob Tetrault - Stockchase Experts
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Rob Tetrault @

On Stockchase since : Mar 2018

Portfolio Manager and Senior Vice-President

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Stock Opinions by Rob Tetrault - Stockchase Experts


Signal Opinion Expert Chart
COMMENT
General Market Comment 

March 9, 2018

Market. He is over-weighted away from fixed income right now as he sees a rising interest rate environment and does not see deflation anytime soon.  Mortgages and principal protected notes are better alternatives for fixed income investing.  He is staying away from government bonds.  Even in a recession (GDP declines in two consecutive quarters), he only sees a 20% potential downturn as a black swan event.  He does not see a trade war with the US as being likely.

Market. He is over-weighted away from fixed income right now as he sees a rising interest rate environment and does not see deflation anytime soon.  Mortgages and principal protected notes are better alternatives for fixed income investing.  He is staying away from government bonds.  Even in a recession (GDP declines in two consecutive quarters), he only sees a 20% potential downturn as a black swan event.  He does not see a trade war with the US as being likely.

Unknown
Rob Tetrault

Portfolio , Tetrault Wealth Advi...

Price Price
$0.020
Owned Owned
_N/A

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

March 9, 2018

Can Trump win a Trade War? – He thinks free-trade is better for everyone.  The major losers would be European Union (where 21% of steel imports come).  If it happens it could be disastrous, but he does not expect it to. 

Can Trump win a Trade War? – He thinks free-trade is better for everyone.  The major losers would be European Union (where 21% of steel imports come).  If it happens it could be disastrous, but he does not expect it to. 

Unknown
Rob Tetrault

Portfolio , Tetrault Wealth Advi...

Price Price
$0.020
Owned Owned
_N/A

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

March 9, 2018

Bitcoin Comment – He said back in December the price of bitcoin would collapse.  He built a pricing model using the adoption rate, money supply, and other factors and calculated a forecasted weighted average value.  Current bitcoin prices of $9000 US, he says, suggests an adoption rate of 40% for bitcoin and a 25% likelihood of it happening.  He sticks by his thought that adoption will not occur near this rate, therefore, the current valuation should be around $500 US.  If you are buying it, you are expecting growth in the adoption rate.

Bitcoin Comment – He said back in December the price of bitcoin would collapse.  He built a pricing model using the adoption rate, money supply, and other factors and calculated a forecasted weighted average value.  Current bitcoin prices of $9000 US, he says, suggests an adoption rate of 40% for bitcoin and a 25% likelihood of it happening.  He sticks by his thought that adoption will not occur near this rate, therefore, the current valuation should be around $500 US.  If you are buying it, you are expecting growth in the adoption rate.

Unknown
Rob Tetrault

Portfolio , Tetrault Wealth Advi...

Price Price
$0.020
Owned Owned
_N/A

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COMMENT
General Market Comment 

March 9, 2018

Legal marijuana stocks to buy – This is the toughest target to hit, he says, with 15-20 players in the sector.  He would buy the HMMJ-T ETF, to avoid unknown factors in one company.  This is the safest way to play it right now. 

Legal marijuana stocks to buy – This is the toughest target to hit, he says, with 15-20 players in the sector.  He would buy the HMMJ-T ETF, to avoid unknown factors in one company.  This is the safest way to play it right now. 

Unknown
Rob Tetrault

Portfolio , Tetrault Wealth Advi...

Price Price
$0.020
Owned Owned
_N/A

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DON'T BUY

He sees this company as being in the penalty box although he sees them as the best diversified REIT in the retail shopping mall space.  However, if you are scared of the market downturn, it is trading at a multiple at the top of the sector.  He also has an issue with the Sears shutdowns.  This will not be a double, you are only hoping to capture your 6% yield and a couple percent per year capital appreciation.  He would focus on other ones. 

property mngmnt/investment

He sees this company as being in the penalty box although he sees them as the best diversified REIT in the retail shopping mall space.  However, if you are scared of the market downturn, it is trading at a multiple at the top of the sector.  He also has an issue with the Sears shutdowns.  This will not be a double, you are only hoping to capture your 6% yield and a couple percent per year capital appreciation.  He would focus on other ones. 

property mngmnt/investment
Rob Tetrault

Portfolio , Tetrault Wealth Advi...

Price Price
$23.850
Owned Owned
No

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DON'T BUY

This company tracks customer contacts.  It is at or near all-time highs and is at 62 times earnings.  He likes it is going to the cloud, but they will require 20% compound annual sales growth to defend it and he does not think they are there.

computer software/processing

This company tracks customer contacts.  It is at or near all-time highs and is at 62 times earnings.  He likes it is going to the cloud, but they will require 20% compound annual sales growth to defend it and he does not think they are there.

computer software/processing
Rob Tetrault

Portfolio , Tetrault Wealth Advi...

Price Price
$127.410
Owned Owned
No

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BUY

He likes this company although it has retraced in price somewhat. If you are not worried about Quebec separating, the 9.5% yield is great.  It has about 75 properties. As a more senior REIT, they are able to acquire debt at much lower rates. The dividend is not at risk. He would buy it on this dip. Yield 9.5%.

income trust

He likes this company although it has retraced in price somewhat. If you are not worried about Quebec separating, the 9.5% yield is great.  It has about 75 properties. As a more senior REIT, they are able to acquire debt at much lower rates. The dividend is not at risk. He would buy it on this dip. Yield 9.5%.

income trust
Rob Tetrault

Portfolio , Tetrault Wealth Advi...

Price Price
$4.520
Owned Owned
Unknown

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PARTIAL BUY
Exchange Income(EIF-T) 

March 9, 2018

As a proud Manitoban, he likes this company.  It has mostly government contracted aviation deals.  It is trading at a discount to its historical multiple, but the problem is they keep spending their money.  They need a couple years to consolidate capital.  They could face future competition in their Northern Canadian market space.  The yield is about 6%.  It is not a bad buy here at the current price weakness. 

Transportation & Environmental Services

As a proud Manitoban, he likes this company.  It has mostly government contracted aviation deals.  It is trading at a discount to its historical multiple, but the problem is they keep spending their money.  They need a couple years to consolidate capital.  They could face future competition in their Northern Canadian market space.  The yield is about 6%.  It is not a bad buy here at the current price weakness. 

Transportation & Environmental Services
Rob Tetrault

Portfolio , Tetrault Wealth Advi...

Price Price
$34.550
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY
Amazon.com(AMZN-Q) 

March 9, 2018

Is there a chance for a stock split?  He owns this and thinks the split will be coming in the next year or two.  He bought it last Christmas after shopping for family on their system – purely on gut feel.  They are only scratching the surface on their distribution play.  This should be in your portfolio for the next 20 years.  Longer term there is risk if their position becomes too dominate.

specialty stores

Is there a chance for a stock split?  He owns this and thinks the split will be coming in the next year or two.  He bought it last Christmas after shopping for family on their system – purely on gut feel.  They are only scratching the surface on their distribution play.  This should be in your portfolio for the next 20 years.  Longer term there is risk if their position becomes too dominate.

specialty stores
Rob Tetrault

Portfolio , Tetrault Wealth Advi...

Price Price
$1578.890
Owned Owned
Yes

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HOLD
BCE Inc.(BCE-T) 

March 9, 2018

He believes this company is not a tech story – it is like buying a utility.  The yield is pretty high, but the growth potential is limited.  He does like owning telcos and National Bank does have it in their portfolio.  It is a long term hold.  Yield 5.3%. 

telephone utilities

He believes this company is not a tech story – it is like buying a utility.  The yield is pretty high, but the growth potential is limited.  He does like owning telcos and National Bank does have it in their portfolio.  It is a long term hold.  Yield 5.3%. 

telephone utilities
Rob Tetrault

Portfolio , Tetrault Wealth Advi...

Price Price
$56.900
Owned Owned
Yes

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COMMENT

He says this company is part of the energy sector pounding.  He does like short term energy plays, especially when it could be bought near two year lows.  He does not have much experience with this one, but likes the yield. 

oil/gas

He says this company is part of the energy sector pounding.  He does like short term energy plays, especially when it could be bought near two year lows.  He does not have much experience with this one, but likes the yield. 

oil/gas
Rob Tetrault

Portfolio , Tetrault Wealth Advi...

Price Price
$12.330
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT
General Electric(GE-N) 

March 9, 2018

He says GE has had management issues, but they should be able to turn it around.  If you are buying this, you are hoping to purchase a stock at a 50% discount hoping it will return.

electrical/electronic

He says GE has had management issues, but they should be able to turn it around.  If you are buying this, you are hoping to purchase a stock at a 50% discount hoping it will return.

electrical/electronic
Rob Tetrault

Portfolio , Tetrault Wealth Advi...

Price Price
$14.940
Owned Owned
No

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SPECULATIVE BUY

He thinks this stock is going to come back, but the market wants to see continued deposits.  The issue of fraud was clearly not good, but shareholders can take comfort that this was not creating artificial revenue.  There were no bad mortgages.  He would buy it at this point. 

investment companies/funds

He thinks this stock is going to come back, but the market wants to see continued deposits.  The issue of fraud was clearly not good, but shareholders can take comfort that this was not creating artificial revenue.  There were no bad mortgages.  He would buy it at this point. 

investment companies/funds
Rob Tetrault

Portfolio , Tetrault Wealth Advi...

Price Price
$15.290
Owned Owned
Unknown

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BUY

He says this is a buy.  He would own this for the long term.  Coal is not going away according to President Trump.  They will be spending $2 billion in capital plays and it trades at multiples that are discount to the peer group.  An explosion, or pressure event, was rumoured to cut their coal production but not as much as the 87-89% the market expected at the specific project.

precious metals

He says this is a buy.  He would own this for the long term.  Coal is not going away according to President Trump.  They will be spending $2 billion in capital plays and it trades at multiples that are discount to the peer group.  An explosion, or pressure event, was rumoured to cut their coal production but not as much as the 87-89% the market expected at the specific project.

precious metals
Rob Tetrault

Portfolio , Tetrault Wealth Advi...

Price Price
$33.830
Owned Owned
Unknown

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TOP PICK

Although a boring story, he says he has been buying this for quite a while.  They buy and consolidate auto body repair stores and don’t sell stock and get cheap debt – the earnings go right back into the business.  They deal with insurance companies, who love this business model.  He does not expect it to double in the next year, but 20% is likely.  Yield 0.5%.  (Analysts’ price target is $118.50 )

other services

Although a boring story, he says he has been buying this for quite a while.  They buy and consolidate auto body repair stores and don’t sell stock and get cheap debt – the earnings go right back into the business.  They deal with insurance companies, who love this business model.  He does not expect it to double in the next year, but 20% is likely.  Yield 0.5%.  (Analysts’ price target is $118.50 )

other services
Rob Tetrault

Portfolio , Tetrault Wealth Advi...

Price Price
$109.860
Owned Owned
Yes

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