CAE Inc

CAE-T

One of 10 companies you can buy and tuck away for a long time. Large competitive moat. Training simulators for civil and defense aerospace. Secular tailwinds. Free cash flow, dividend growth, potential acquisitions down the road. Will be around for years and years. Yield is 1.22%. (Analysts’ price target is $37.25)

Civil aviation is important because there are a lot of pilots retiring in the next decade. China is going to dramatically increase the number of airports and airplanes.

He likes it but recently took some profits. It is a really well run company. They have been doing well in the civil side. In the future they are going to do even better. In the long term he thinks they will continue to prosper. The 737-Max will put more emphasis on training.

(A Top Pick Sep 13/18, Up 38%) They have a moat in that he has no idea how you would start up a competing company. They are spending a lot of cap-x because they see large potential returns. There is a lot to like with this one.

He missed it, because he thought it was too expensive. He regrets it. With the boom in flying, especially Asia, there's a need to train new pilots. It's now too late to buy this. Too expensive. If this dips 25%, he'd be all over it.

A defensive stock in an RRSP during a downturn or if interest rates decline? He hasn't looked at this in a long time. The demand for planes in 20 years will be huge due to demand in emerging markets. We will need pilots. CAE has had an amazing run, so the valuation is high. He needs to research this more to have an opinion.

It has been one of his favourite Quebec companies for some time. It has run to the extent where he is considering taking some profits. We are going to see much more turn-over and replacement for aircraft and that means demand for CAE. Increased pilot retirement will also create more demand for CAE products. (Analysts’ price target is $36.00)

Tech analysis out the window, since it's had a straight run since 2016. Acting great. It's a hold or buy. Can't add anything technically to say you should sell it. It would be just a common sense call, whether you bought it for a hold or a trade.

They are flight simulators and training. This name has great momentum. They are hitting 52 week highs and all time highs. 60% of business is from services which tends to be recurring business. Yield = 1.35% (Analysts’ price target is $30.13)

If you like the outlook for aerospace (ex-Boeing), then commercial aviation is doing very well, because the middle class wants to travel. It's wonderful, long-term stock.

They can maintain the dividend as well as do acquisitions. They have a 17% ROE. Near term earnings are expected to go up 10% by May. It broke out of a near term accumulation zone. He sees a 16% potential upside. (Analysts’ price target is $30.10)

(A Top Pick Feb 01/18, Up 25%) This is the name you go to in the simulation space. He was trying to take advantage of the ongoing pilot shortage. He is a happy holder of this

There is 100,000 pilots about to retire and air travel demand is increasing. They are a world leader in the space. The stock has done well recently and he really likes the company. A good five year hold.

Simulator business that's tried and true. Reported some good results. Not directly related to the general economy. Having done so well, probably overdue for a pause, but it's a good hold.

Is Quebec a dangerous place to invest? National Bank is worth considering, which he doesn't own. But he owns CAE, very well-managed over the decades. They don't depend on the Quebec government. It's diversified very well. A solid hold for him.