Earning Reports to Watch (Feb 04-08)

One of his core holdings. They are continuing to grow their margins. It is trading at a huge discount to other alcohol companies. (Analysts’ price target is $17.00)

Has had a huge run and is not sure he would be courageous enough to get onboard at this point. Management has done a remarkable job of building this. He would look for a little lower entry point.

A solid company with a good balance sheet and nice yield. There is a modest opportunity for upside. Since 2012 they have traded between 2.5 and 3.5 times book, with a downward basis trend. The share price is unchanged in ten years and has added no value to investors in that time. He calls these…

He doesn’t know the seasonality on this, but the technicals show that it has been in an upward trend for quite a period of time. During the last little while, it has been in a trading range between around $19 and $22. It is not unusual for a lot of stocks in the consumer staples…

Safer than a non-royalty stock? They pay out everything they earn at a 13.5% dividend yield. It's sold off sharply, because it is perceived that fast food chains will close down during this outbreak.

It has great exposure to China and is a strong brand. Likes it. The balance sheet is okay, but sales should increase next year in China where they are recovering far better from Covid than we are in the West. That said, the stock is pricey.

An amazing company over the years. The stock has come off and the valuation is the lowest it has been in 6 years. The pandemic has hurt their sales and earnings. Give it a couple of quarters and the numbers will start to look better. It is the most attractive it has been for a…

They bought Newfoundland Capital. It is a radio operator now. Debt is high but they keep increasing their dividend. People see them as background music in a retail environment. It is an okay stock and he would like it a lot better with a lot less debt.

(A Top Pick Nov 22/18, Up 12%)Convertible 8% 2022 bonds He owned the Yellow senior bonds, but then moved into these convertibles. Most of their revenues are in digital, but that has struggled. New management has cut costs a lot until free cash flow now stands around $100 million this year. Their EBITDA margins are…

(A Top Pick Jul 27/17, Down 6%) Volatile. It's come down a lot, but there's a lot of upside ahead. Well-managed. They can make accretive acqusitions. Their problems integrating some businesses are behind them and they now have a strong runway ahead.

(A Top Pick May 08/19, Down 25%) A tough environment for them. They sold out of their holding last June around $22. They were having troubles rolling out a South American strategy so opted to move on.

It’s under review by the government whether the takeover will take place. You’re dealing with regulatory uncertainty right now. If you bought it before the takeover, unless you’re in tune with what will happen, he wouldn’t own the stock any longer. The price is fair.

Very interesting opportunity. Automating production in healthcare and battery production. World is looking to lower costs and bring some processes onshore. Backlog is growing. Right place at right time. Stock's unreasonably down 20% this year. Great management executing well. No dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $25.50)

it is a good grower, with 75% of their contracts are take-or-pay inflation linked with 11 years as the average term. The 4-5% yield is positive. A source of stability and income. (Analysts’ price target is $64.92)

(A Top Pick Nov 01/19, Up 29%) A mystery since it has done well despite the pandemic. Distributor for Caterpillar equipment, constructions, power systems, etc. Home building is doing well and construction is doing well. Gold mining is also back in full swing. Their customers are having a good year. Scores well on all 3…

(A Top Pick May 10/19, Down 12%) They're effectively a private equity firm. It's doing well considering markets now. They look to generate a 15% return on their portfolio of energy, infrastructure and power. This market is lining up perfectly for someone with cash. There'll be opportunities for debt rescue or capitalizing companies or buying…

They execute brilliantly, integrating very well. They produce landing gear for airplanes. They finished absorbing a major acquisition of a Spanish company which got them into Airbus. They also work on the Boeing 777x. The capex and acquisition spend is now done, so they can pay down debt or buy more companies. HRX is one…

Cobalt is attractive but this is not a cheap producer, because they're in Canada and not Russia or Congo.

This has been quite erratic and trading in quite a wide range. He’s been seeing contraction in breadth in forest companies, so is a little cautious on this area. If he had to focus in one space, it would be on lumber which looks attractive. You can use a basket of them through the ETF…

Allan Tong’s Discover Picks During the depths of the lockdown, the price of lumber in the CME futures has tripled since April 1 to nearly touch US$828 (per thousand board feet) just recently. There are no signs yet to show a slowdown in demand. Meanwhile, Canfor is still only halfway to its all-time highs above…

Seasonally, forest product stocks have a history of reaching a peak around the 3rd week in April. This year is no different. Probably an opportunity to take some money off table.

(A Top Pick Dec 11/19, Down 5%) You want to buy commodities when they're forgotten about. Retail was the reason for the miss. Some investors worry it's a structural issue, but he puts it down to Covid and weather. Still likes it, but sold half his position for other industrial plays. You get paid to…

Earnings expectations are for a $0.14 loss this year per share, compared to $1.23 from last year. The company has recovered to strongly on the US housing market recovery. Based on historic valuations relative to book value he sees a range of $11 to $16 for the share price. It has a good balance sheet.…

Likes it quite a bit. Hurt by trade war and Covid. In the energy patch, which hurts. Dividend is reasonable and reasonably safe. Balance sheet is intact. Early stage recovery name. Acquirer of mom and pop shops. Risky area, economically sensitive. Favourable risk/reward right here, right now.

He rarely talks about Gold. He thinks it is a strong sector bet. It is been out of favor for so long that mines have closed, productions have closed, mergers and acquisitions happened. Central Banks are now massive buyers of Gold. they want to get out of the US dollar. The Fed is not raising…

Uses their GPS system to figure out where trains are, and to more accurately schedule trains and service vehicles for people working on the rails. Reported on Aug 14 and earnings were down 10%. That was against a 32% increase in sales. In the coming quarter, earnings are expected to be down 75% year-over-year. Great…

It is a well run company. He got out of it. They paid out a lot of special dividends and the stock did well, but he got out because most of the catalysts are out of it.

A US company that's consolidating in the medical market (home lifts, ventilators, oxygen, etc.). He continues to like it. It was a past pick and since they made an acquisition. The stock has increased, though not as much as he expected. He predicts the valuation will be pretty attractive. This could be a takeover target…

They make life easier for large diagnostic test companies. It automates the testing process. They did a final financing. They've been working on this technology for 5 years.

Making changes to be able to invest more in foreign stocks. Wait to see how they do.

Share price on the path to recovery. Scores well on valuation, but held back by price momentum. Trades cheaply. Solid yield. Beat most recent quarter. Housing markets have been incredibly resilient. Could see himself as a buyer as they rotate into financials.

Looks more interesting with the potential acquisition of RSA, as it expands their growth potential. Excellent operators. P&C insurance gets repriced annually, a plus. She's planning to research it more closely.

Owned it a few years ago and cut his losses. Now, cut your losses. This business is struggling as an asset manager, specifically to retain and attract new clients. Also, their key managers, including the CEO, have been leaving. They won't generate much in performance fees, which has been an attraction for investors in the…

You could own it if you want direct property exposure. She owns BAM instead, which owns 50-60% of BPY, as she likes the whole stable. Dividend should be safe. Going through a difficult time with retail. Will take a while to work through, but they'll do it. Commercial and retail properties are Class A, well…

GWO vs. SLF Insurance companies have done a lot to reduce their risk. GWO is cheaper than SLF, with a higher growth rate, but it hasn't been as steady eddy as SLF. Whole space is pretty cheap. Dividends are safe. Boring area. You can own both, but GWO is the better buy.

(A Top Pick May 02/19, Down 25%) He got stopped out. It was a value play. It was cheap at $15. He doesn't know how retailer investors will respond to this current uncertainty. The mutual fund business was facing headwinds before the pandemic. He won't buy back his shares.

IGM-T vs. MIC-T. He would prefer MIC-T. He likes the underlying fundamentals, but has always worried about a real estate downturn and how it would affect it. He prefers it to IGM-T where he does not see how the fee structure would be sustainable in the long run.

CNQ would be better for dividend sustainability. They have less maintenance requirements on their properties, a better run company. There is better inside ownership. He owns both. At $60 oil, CNQ will have 18% free cashflow yield. Suncor has less leverage due to refining exposure.

Generally not a fan of the Chinese inter-listed companies. He has a Short position in this one. There are better places to be.

Convertible bonds with a 5.75% coupon They own a great base of real estate. The debt issue is a small piece. The bond is well-covered. MTL.DV-T. You get a 6-year option on the stock within the bond, with a $14 convert price. If oil recovers, these bonds will convert into equity. Until then, collect then.…

A conglomerate and he isn’t a big fan of this model. A well-known catalyst investor has just purchased about 19%. May sell of some weaker units.

They have paid down debt, but their balance sheet is not yet where investors want. Their assets were in demand from Huskey. If oil prices strengthen, he does not expect this to exist for long since it is a big cashflow machine. It is hedge-fund heavy but he would buy a little if you are…

The momentum today will off-set tax-loss selling. Looking through the very short term, the dynamics of the sector are tighter. They had a disappointing 2021 forecast with more gas allocations. If you are bullish on natural gas, you could be a buyer, but he does not find it too compelling.

A materials company that he is not excited on. Has shorted this. A call on valuation and volatility. Not a lot of return on equity, expensive on EBITA basis, and no compelling reason to hold it. Uranium is a tougher market. Nuclear has not profited from the clean energy movement.

They sell energy contracts. They have under gone several management changes over the years. He is not a great fan of this business model.

A Biden win would be positive for green energy. Renewable producers have already run up. Don't chase. Opportunity to buy when there's a pullback. She owns BEP.UN and AQN. Long-term value. AQN you could start adding right here. Wait on BEP.UN.

A lot of success is tied to Gaz Metro in Québec, but they also have some wind farms that have recently come online in the last year or 2, and giving good returns to the company. Recent earnings were solid and they raised the dividend by 3.7%, and plan to raise it 4% next year.…

Juicy dividend, which grows steadily. Predictable business model. Today's results seem fine. Share price is overreacting. Some decline in monthly revenue. One to own for steady and growing income over time.