U.S. Natural Gas Fund E.T.F.

UNG-N

NYSEARCA:UNG

17.30
0.73 (4.05%)

Analysis and Opinions about UNG-N

Signal
Opinion
Expert
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 7, 2019
He's traded this before. Commodities are trading instruments. Nat gas has broken down this year with old support becoming new resistance. Don't enter this space now.
He's traded this before. Commodities are trading instruments. Nat gas has broken down this year with old support becoming new resistance. Don't enter this space now.
Keith Richards
Portfolio Manager, ValueTrend Wealth Management
Price
$19.730
Owned
No
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
May 9, 2019
It has a seasonal period from March to Mid-June, then from September to December. He has trimmed back his position because it is not working in this seasonal period. Fundamentals are not driving it. Wait until next September. This ETF suffers from erosion.
It has a seasonal period from March to Mid-June, then from September to December. He has trimmed back his position because it is not working in this seasonal period. Fundamentals are not driving it. Wait until next September. This ETF suffers from erosion.
Brooke Thackray
Research Analyst, Horizons ETFs (Canada) Inc.
Price
$22.420
Owned
Yes
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
April 30, 2019
(A Top Pick Feb 22/19, Down 7%) An ETF of the short contract on US nat gas. He's trying to trade within a band to buy in the low-$20s and sell in the upper-$20s, like $27. We'll see what happens.
(A Top Pick Feb 22/19, Down 7%) An ETF of the short contract on US nat gas. He's trying to trade within a band to buy in the low-$20s and sell in the upper-$20s, like $27. We'll see what happens.
Keith Richards
Portfolio Manager, ValueTrend Wealth Management
Price
$22.330
Owned
Yes
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
February 22, 2019
Strictly a trade within a trading range around $25 now. Resistance around $27.50. That's the range.
Strictly a trade within a trading range around $25 now. Resistance around $27.50. That's the range.
Keith Richards
Portfolio Manager, ValueTrend Wealth Management
Price
$24.020
Owned
Yes
WATCH
WATCH
May 23, 2018

The spot natural gas market in the US has a seasonal peak period of mid-March to mid-June for cooling needs and September into December for heating needs. He does own some natural gas exposure in another ETF, but is looking to take profit sometime in June. He is more excited about buying in September.

The spot natural gas market in the US has a seasonal peak period of mid-March to mid-June for cooling needs and September into December for heating needs. He does own some natural gas exposure in another ETF, but is looking to take profit sometime in June. He is more excited about buying in September.

Brooke Thackray
Research Analyst, Horizons ETFs (Canada) Inc.
Price
$23.920
Owned
No
COMMENT
COMMENT
September 8, 2017

This has a history of bottoming right around the end of August, and then moving higher through until the 2nd week in December. Natural gas prices have been bottoming during the last few weeks. Very briefly, a few days ago, this moved above its trading range. These normally go significantly higher, usually around the middle of December. You have to be aware that there is a contango involved in this particular product. His preference is to not to play natural gas directly, but to do it with equity securities.

This has a history of bottoming right around the end of August, and then moving higher through until the 2nd week in December. Natural gas prices have been bottoming during the last few weeks. Very briefly, a few days ago, this moved above its trading range. These normally go significantly higher, usually around the middle of December. You have to be aware that there is a contango involved in this particular product. His preference is to not to play natural gas directly, but to do it with equity securities.

Don Vialoux
Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA & EquityClock.COM
Price
$6.440
Owned
Unknown
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
November 7, 2016

(A Top Pick Oct 14/16. Down 19.51%.) (All these picks started off with positive seasonality between now and the end of the year. On the technicals, at the very least, you want the security trading in an upward trend and outperforming the market.) Technicals had very quickly deteriorated and it started to underperform the market, developed a downward trend and it was Stopped out. The warm weather is what happened. The period of seasonal strength ends in the 2nd week of December.

(A Top Pick Oct 14/16. Down 19.51%.) (All these picks started off with positive seasonality between now and the end of the year. On the technicals, at the very least, you want the security trading in an upward trend and outperforming the market.) Technicals had very quickly deteriorated and it started to underperform the market, developed a downward trend and it was Stopped out. The warm weather is what happened. The period of seasonal strength ends in the 2nd week of December.

Don Vialoux
Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA & EquityClock.COM
Price
$7.590
Owned
No
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
October 14, 2016

The chart shows a nice little break-out recently, and the trend is clearly outperforming the market. Seasonally, natural gas moves higher from September right through until the beginning of December. Also, weather forecasters are talking about an El Niña, which means a colder than average winter. It is amazing how often natural gas peaks in the 2nd week of December.

The chart shows a nice little break-out recently, and the trend is clearly outperforming the market. Seasonally, natural gas moves higher from September right through until the beginning of December. Also, weather forecasters are talking about an El Niña, which means a colder than average winter. It is amazing how often natural gas peaks in the 2nd week of December.

Don Vialoux
Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA & EquityClock.COM
Price
$9.430
Owned
No
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
February 24, 2014

Nat Gas. Futures contracts. Are trading down short term and not so much further out because it is a short term supply issue. When LNG distribution starts, that is a game changer. He owns the companies, not the ETF. There is a problem with them having to rebalance.

Nat Gas. Futures contracts. Are trading down short term and not so much further out because it is a short term supply issue. When LNG distribution starts, that is a game changer. He owns the companies, not the ETF. There is a problem with them having to rebalance.

Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA
Chief Investment Officer, Partner, ETF Capital Management Inc.
Price
$26.120
Owned
No
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
August 14, 2012

Feels we are still a little bit early on the natural gas story. The good news is that there is a floor on natural gas now. The switching from coal to natural gas looked like it was moving in an interesting direction and then unfortunately it turned back down.

Feels we are still a little bit early on the natural gas story. The good news is that there is a floor on natural gas now. The switching from coal to natural gas looked like it was moving in an interesting direction and then unfortunately it turned back down.

Mike S. Newton, CIM FCSI
Director & Portfolio Manager, Scotia Wealth Management
Price
$19.330
Owned
No
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 15, 2009
US Natural Gas ETF. Prefers the equities versus the commodities.
US Natural Gas ETF. Prefers the equities versus the commodities.
Christine Poole
CEO & Managing Director, GlobeInvest Capital Management
Price
$11.220
Owned
No
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
September 22, 2009
US Natural Gas Fund ETF. There has been an issue raised in regards to the rollover aspects of this. Believes it is exchange-traded notes. You need to do some pretty serious investigative work. Natural gas has gotten bombed because of excess supply. Wouldn't behind on his list.
US Natural Gas Fund ETF. There has been an issue raised in regards to the rollover aspects of this. Believes it is exchange-traded notes. You need to do some pretty serious investigative work. Natural gas has gotten bombed because of excess supply. Wouldn't behind on his list.
Vinny Catalano
Chief Investment Strategist, Blue Marble Research
Price
$11.400
Owned
Unknown
PARTIAL BUY
PARTIAL BUY
July 3, 2009
Natural gas has come down to levels that makes it attractive, especially as related to crude oil prices. There is a lot of gas in the market because of unconventional drilling. He is initiating a very small position through this E.T.F. Plays the price of gas rather than companies. Also writing Puts on the position to reduce costs.
Natural gas has come down to levels that makes it attractive, especially as related to crude oil prices. There is a lot of gas in the market because of unconventional drilling. He is initiating a very small position through this E.T.F. Plays the price of gas rather than companies. Also writing Puts on the position to reduce costs.
Ara Nalbandian
Portfolio Manager, Highwater Capital Management
Price
$13.110
Owned
Yes
COMMENT
COMMENT
June 2, 2009
Natural Gas: Preferred seasonality for Alberta natural gas (GAS-T) is from the end of August until the end of December. This trade has worked 7 of the 10 times for an average return of 25% each. You would expect the US Natural Gas (UNG-T) would be very similar but it is from the end of July to the end of October. This is worked 8 of the past 10 periods for an average gain of 17.4% each. This has a lot to do with currency.
Natural Gas: Preferred seasonality for Alberta natural gas (GAS-T) is from the end of August until the end of December. This trade has worked 7 of the 10 times for an average return of 25% each. You would expect the US Natural Gas (UNG-T) would be very similar but it is from the end of July to the end of October. This is worked 8 of the past 10 periods for an average gain of 17.4% each. This has a lot to do with currency.
Don Vialoux
Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA & EquityClock.COM
Price
$15.630
Owned
Unknown
COMMENT
COMMENT
September 10, 2008
He currently has no energy exposure in his fund, but natural gas is an area he is starting to look into. Breakeven amount for making money in production is over the present price of natural gas. Producers will have to cut supplies, which will ultimately restore the balance. Could take a little while.
He currently has no energy exposure in his fund, but natural gas is an area he is starting to look into. Breakeven amount for making money in production is over the present price of natural gas. Producers will have to cut supplies, which will ultimately restore the balance. Could take a little while.
Pat Naccarato
Vice President and Portfolio Manager, AIC Limited
Price
$34.020
Owned
No
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