National Bank of Greece SA (NBG-N) Stock Predictions - Stockchase
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National Bank of Greece SA (NBG-N)

ON STOCKCHASE SINCE Mar 2007

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National Bank of Greece S...

NBG-N

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National Bank of Greece SA (NBG-N) SAVE Dec, 31, 1969, 7:00 pm

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DON'T BUY

The number of shares is absolutely insane. The share count has grown dramatically. They’ve been in survival mode for quite a while, but thinks they will survive. It wouldn’t surprise him if they did a share consolidation. Share consolidations are virtually always bad for stocks. A speculative play, but it could be good. Doesn’t think you will lose all your money. He doesn’t see putting dollars on it at this time.

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The number of shares is absolutely insane. The share count has grown dramatically. They’ve been in survival mode for quite a while, but thinks they will survive. It wouldn’t surprise him if they did a share consolidation. Share consolidations are virtually always bad for stocks. A speculative play, but it could be good. Doesn’t think you will lose all your money. He doesn’t see putting dollars on it at this time.

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Benj Gallander

President, Contra the Heard Inv...

Price Price
$0.161
Owned Owned
No

COMMENT

Thinks there will be a National Bank of Greece in a couple of years. The share count has gone to mega billions, a huge amount of dilution, which makes it difficult. The Greek economy will come back, but all the banks are in a very dangerous position. This is a crapshoot. You might want to look at Global X Greece ETF (GREK-N) instead.

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Thinks there will be a National Bank of Greece in a couple of years. The share count has gone to mega billions, a huge amount of dilution, which makes it difficult. The Greek economy will come back, but all the banks are in a very dangerous position. This is a crapshoot. You might want to look at Global X Greece ETF (GREK-N) instead.

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Benj Gallander

President, Contra the Heard Inv...

Price Price
$0.161
Owned Owned
Unknown

COMMENT

When you do a valuation, and it looks cheap, you have to have the ability to take the risk profile. It appears like it is turning, but there are things that could go wrong.

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When you do a valuation, and it looks cheap, you have to have the ability to take the risk profile. It appears like it is turning, but there are things that could go wrong.

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Rick Stuchberry

Portfolio , Wellington-Altus Pri...

Price Price
$0.655
Owned Owned
No

COMMENT

For people who want to take on a lot of risks and who want to play he can see them going into this. It is on his radar screen. It is going to be very difficult for people to make money on this, unless they are traders, which he is not. Greece is going to exist in 5, 10, 25 years, but which companies might disappear and which ones will survive and possibly bloom?

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For people who want to take on a lot of risks and who want to play he can see them going into this. It is on his radar screen. It is going to be very difficult for people to make money on this, unless they are traders, which he is not. Greece is going to exist in 5, 10, 25 years, but which companies might disappear and which ones will survive and possibly bloom?

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Benj Gallander

President, Contra the Heard Inv...

Price Price
$0.820
Owned Owned
No

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick July 23/14. Down 59.80%.) This was his gamble on a turnaround in the Greek economy. It didn’t happen. The Socialists got in and people didn’t want to pay their debts back. They hired back all the bureaucrats that the previous regime got rid of. A very bad call.

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(A Top Pick July 23/14. Down 59.80%.) This was his gamble on a turnaround in the Greek economy. It didn’t happen. The Socialists got in and people didn’t want to pay their debts back. They hired back all the bureaucrats that the previous regime got rid of. A very bad call.

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Fabrice Taylor

Publisher, The President's Club...

Price Price
$1.400
Owned Owned
No

DON'T BUY

The issue around Greece is that it effectively is a ton of political risks. As the political risks start to recede, then you are going to have the ability to assess the bank in its own right. There is so much political risk that he wouldn’t look at this bank.

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The issue around Greece is that it effectively is a ton of political risks. As the political risks start to recede, then you are going to have the ability to assess the bank in its own right. There is so much political risk that he wouldn’t look at this bank.

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Darren Sissons

Vice Presi, Campbell Lee & Ross...

Price Price
$1.270
Owned Owned
No

SPECULATIVE BUY

He sold and lost money on this one.  There is talk of Greece running out of money.  The stock has been diluted tremendously.  This is a dangerous, dangerous company.  It is hard for them to go under and there may be a lot of upside.

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He sold and lost money on this one.  There is talk of Greece running out of money.  The stock has been diluted tremendously.  This is a dangerous, dangerous company.  It is hard for them to go under and there may be a lot of upside.

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Benj Gallander

President, Contra the Heard Inv...

Price Price
$1.310
Owned Owned
No

DON'T BUY

The one year chart shows a long downtrend. It may be breaking out, but he would want to see a series of higher highs and higher lows to indicate a new uptrend. Way too early to enter this stock.

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The one year chart shows a long downtrend. It may be breaking out, but he would want to see a series of higher highs and higher lows to indicate a new uptrend. Way too early to enter this stock.

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Keith Richards

Portfolio , ValueTrend Wealth Ma...

Price Price
$1.280
Owned Owned
Unknown

DON'T BUY

He would encourage people to really think about what kind of stocks they want to invest in. He always very deliberately look for lower volatility type of stocks, and ones that can still demonstrate growth in earnings and in dividends. This bank is almost the opposite of that. Its major business right now is keeping hold of its deposit base. If it doesn’t do that, there is no business. You are going to have very little growth and a tremendous amount of volatility, the worst of both worlds.

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He would encourage people to really think about what kind of stocks they want to invest in. He always very deliberately look for lower volatility type of stocks, and ones that can still demonstrate growth in earnings and in dividends. This bank is almost the opposite of that. Its major business right now is keeping hold of its deposit base. If it doesn’t do that, there is no business. You are going to have very little growth and a tremendous amount of volatility, the worst of both worlds.

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Charles Lannon

Director o, Toron Investment Man...

Price Price
$1.960
Owned Owned
No

SELL ON STRENGTH

It is hard to know how this is going to play out.  Don’t sell on a day it is down 20% because they go up and down that much on a daily basis.

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It is hard to know how this is going to play out.  Don’t sell on a day it is down 20% because they go up and down that much on a daily basis.

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Mark Grammer

Managing D, Gluskin Sheff & Asso...

Price Price
$1.120
Owned Owned
Unknown

COMMENT

This is going like crazy right now with the new government in Greece. The government may be coming to some realization that they have to come to some negotiation here. As an investment, this is high risk, but could be a risk worth taking. One of the biggest problems is their share count, which is over 3 billion shares. For the stock to go up a lot, that share, will impinge on the bank. If you want to take a flyer, this could be a good one to take.

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This is going like crazy right now with the new government in Greece. The government may be coming to some realization that they have to come to some negotiation here. As an investment, this is high risk, but could be a risk worth taking. One of the biggest problems is their share count, which is over 3 billion shares. For the stock to go up a lot, that share, will impinge on the bank. If you want to take a flyer, this could be a good one to take.

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Benj Gallander

President, Contra the Heard Inv...

Price Price
$1.550
Owned Owned
No

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Dec 10/13. Down 82.90%.) This was a bet on a turnaround in the Greek economy. Instead they elected a party that could pull them out of the Euro entirely. He exited a while ago at a pretty stiff loss. He’s not going to make any more bets like this and will stick to his knitting.

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(A Top Pick Dec 10/13. Down 82.90%.) This was a bet on a turnaround in the Greek economy. Instead they elected a party that could pull them out of the Euro entirely. He exited a while ago at a pretty stiff loss. He’s not going to make any more bets like this and will stick to his knitting.

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Fabrice Taylor

Publisher, The President's Club...

Price Price
$1.030
Owned Owned
No

WATCH

Greece is technically finally out of recession.  He continues to watch it.  Their share count has gone up monstrously.  There is a political question in Greece.  There is some possibility of a reverse stock split.  He cannot see this bank going under.  It could go up two or three times, but it is fairly high risk.

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Greece is technically finally out of recession.  He continues to watch it.  Their share count has gone up monstrously.  There is a political question in Greece.  There is some possibility of a reverse stock split.  He cannot see this bank going under.  It could go up two or three times, but it is fairly high risk.

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Benj Gallander

President, Contra the Heard Inv...

Price Price
$2.180
Owned Owned
Unknown

DON'T BUY

This was on his Stock Watch list, but he eliminated it in the last couple of days. Often the reasons to Buy are less interesting than the reasons to Not Buy. The primary reason he decided against this was that the growth in the share count has just gone ballistic from about 200 million to about 200 billion. That is a huge increase and that is scary. There are better opportunities elsewhere.

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This was on his Stock Watch list, but he eliminated it in the last couple of days. Often the reasons to Buy are less interesting than the reasons to Not Buy. The primary reason he decided against this was that the growth in the share count has just gone ballistic from about 200 million to about 200 billion. That is a huge increase and that is scary. There are better opportunities elsewhere.

banks
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Benj Gallander

President, Contra the Heard Inv...

Price Price
$2.710
Owned Owned
No

COMMENT

This is on his Watchlist. He finds it is a very, very intriguing situation. This is a leader in Greece. They are still having a lot of problems in Greece. It would hurt their national pride if anything happened to this bank.

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This is on his Watchlist. He finds it is a very, very intriguing situation. This is a leader in Greece. They are still having a lot of problems in Greece. It would hurt their national pride if anything happened to this bank.

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Benj Gallander

President, Contra the Heard Inv...

Price Price
$3.580
Owned Owned
No

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