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A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert (A Commentary)

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Market. Infrastructure is Industrials, energy and utilities. He has includes any stock that provides an essential daily service like cell towers, data centers, payment processing – names that have high barriers to entry, and are cash flow generators. Also railways, mid-stream energy processors, but no producers. Data centers are quite lucrative once you have them established.
BUY
Future of Wind Turbines. For on-shore wind the biggest hurdle is that turbines are getting bigger and soon aviation approvals will be necessary. With off-shore wind you don’t have FFA regulations but you are drilling into seabed with underwater cabling and this is the biggest hurdle to wind. He is very bullish on wind both onshore and offshore.
COMMENT
Big earnings day, Visa beats. Visa, Mastercard are great long-term, secular growth stories. They can fall off if there's a downturn in the economy, but they're fantastic names. Only recently passed 50% worldwide digital transactions, so lots of runway.
COMMENT
Big beat for Intel, top and bottom line. Good numbers, but Texas Instruments did not. So you have to be selective. De-escalation in US-China tariff wars, plus positive start to Q3 earnings have moved us less than 1% away from S&P all-time highs. Doesn't mean there aren't risks on the horizon.
COMMENT
Next move for the Fed? A 90% prediction they'll lower interest rates. Dovish stance is also buoying markets. Trading has been sideways since Q1.
COMMENT
Covered call option on an ETF. Ask what your outlook is. In a flat or falling environment, covered calls tend to do well because you're getting the yield plus the covered call premium. In a rising environment, where underlying stocks are moving higher, you won't get as strong a return as if you held the underlying securities.
COMMENT
Market Outlook He looks at the past 10 years of a stock's price, focusing on stock price is down 33% in the past 52 weeks and trades near 10 year lows. He looks for upside of at least 100%. He does not like to see a company with a lot of debt. His 10 year annualized return is over 20%. He thinks President Trump is toast. The question is does he even make it to the next election -- is he impeached or does he have a stroke. He has bet that he will not be re-elected. This will be great for the markets after a brief period of uncertainty. He is just too much of a loose cannon. The American debt and deficit now though and it will become a big issue going forward.
COMMENT
Gold It has had a good run up to $1500 per oz. He is not sure people should put their money into gold if a recession is upcoming -- it earns no income. He has some gold stocks on his radar, but the thinks the contrarian opportunity has almost played itself out by now.
COMMENT
Clean technology and rare earth? Rare earth minerals come in vogue every few years -- investors get excited then getting burned. He would be wary of this space. He does not have the research to make a great comment.
COMMENT
Junior energy stocks post-election? He thinks Trudeau buying a pipeline for over $4 billion shows his support for the sector. The issue is a new coalition government and having to deal with so many constituencies. There are some good juniors to buy, but be careful of their debt loads. He does not yet have any recommendations for juniors at this time.
COMMENT
Gold--he's a gold bug The gold price will move when the Fed speaks next week. The big picture is the currency reserve--if the system implodes, gold will come back to the fore. Trump wants to kill the US dollar. All debts are in dollars and have to depreciate--and that already started to happen. After a huge run, gold has been sideways around $1,500. The next move up happen when it breaks above $1,550, the last high. He expects the Fed to ease rates again--free money is coming in. Money is losing its value.
COMMENT
Expecting a bear market--sell now? He's been raising cash and buying convertible bonds. That said, he expects the market will continue to rise a little more, given the flow of funds from bonds into stocks. He's buying pipelines and utilities because they generate cash flow no matter what happens; especially likes those generating cash outside Canada. He is generating cash flow but has assets and hedges on the side to benefit from any downside. He doesn't know how high gold will run to the end of the year. The gold producers are holding on and will lead the sector--that surprises him.
COMMENT
CIBC Precious Mineral Fund He likes it, based on their top 10 holdings. Diversified. Charges 2.4% mgt. fee which is reasonable.
COMMENT
A Liberal minority government: he hopes it will be a benign environment for business, but worries that they will tamper with tax rules. At the end of the day, capital goes to where it earns a return, and Canada in recent years hasn't been that successful in doing that. The Libs need to pay for services and can't keep running up deficits....Half the banks in the world can't survive a sharp increase in interest rates, though Canadian banks are more robust. He doesn't expect a spike in rates...Everyone is talking about the oncoming recession, but doesn't know when. All stats point to a slowdown in global growth. A recession would weed out excesses, built up since the last recession. Let's hope it's not a deep, hurtful recession. Be cautious. We're no longer in a momentum market, but value.
COMMENT
Retail investing? He hasn't touched retail in a while. It's been a battlefield vs. Amazon and e-commerce. The Bay tried to compete online to mixed success and now they're going private. But Dollarama and Couch-Tarde have done well, though more in a convenience retail space. Retail will remain a tough sector. Also, there's more self-checkout in these stores.
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