Market Commentary — Page 482

Market Commentary

COMMENT

Keystone XL. They are in risk mitigation mode. Canada needs more capacity to distribute the product to Asia, not necessarily to the US. Does not know how this will play out. The news is still meaningful for Canada and the relationship with the Biden administration.

COMMENT

Educational Segment. Today's topic is on equity risk premium, or the multiple the market is willing to accept. Analysis on liquidity has been about the central bank and Fed put. How much debt do they have to use to fund the programs. In 2021, we will be short 4 trillion to fund all the spending this year. This will come from sucking liquidity out of the market. When there is more supply than demand, equity risk premium go down and yields go up. A challenge for financial markets.

COMMENT

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Momentum has been good and continues to rise. As prices rise, new investors enter. The stocks could be added to indices that then repeat the cycle. However, investors must understand what they own since volatility can be quite high. Focus on choosing companies with good fundamentals and management to weather the volatility and pick winners. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

COMMENT

A lot of people are still working from home. Without the fiscal stimulus the market would not be hitting all time highs. There is a disconnect between the economy and the stock market. For the time being it is still positive but you have to watch for hazards. A hazard is the extremely low interest rates. Markets have clearly outperformed because of the push for equities.

COMMENT

Tech stocks. If you look in the US, he struggles with Amazon's valuation. He is currently looking for tech exposure outside of the US. Looking at semiconductors in Asia, such as Samsung. Use your money wisely and look at areas of the world that has been traded less. There are lots of opportunities.

COMMENT

Consumer stocks. Added Louis Vuitton recently in the international portfolio. They recently acquired Tiffany. Other consumer names have had a nice run as well. An interesting space. Everyday staples have also done very well. Many of these companies are bond proxies.

COMMENT

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. There are many new investors entering the market. However, collectively the money is not likely to impair the whole market. Furthermore the bubble looks to be confined to EV, cryptos and SPACs. 5i does not anticipate a 30%+ decline like last year. Hold enough cash to sleep at night. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

COMMENT

Biden announced a major stimulus package, but markets rolled over Friday. Puzzling--the market got what it wanted, yet sold. Why? Biden met, not beat, expectations. Also, bank earnings disappointed Friday.

COMMENT

How will the pandemic change your investing style? Not likely to change his strategy. These disruptions happen. It's been hard on people, but there have been pandemics before, and there will be again. Currency, interest rates, and commodity prices all go up and down. Choose companies that have resilience, with a business model that can survive adversity. He selects quality companies. Investors will have to spend more time doing due diligence.

COMMENT

Science is telling us there may be a worse virus to come. The 1918 influenza epidemic had an impact on the economy. Influenza in the 1950s and again in the 1968 recession both affected economic activity. Businesses need to be able to adapt. For example, a media company's business model is more resilient since people can work from home. This allows these businesses to take market share. There are always concerns: SARS, Covid, terrorism, recessions.

DON'T BUY

Index ETFs. He would never recommend an index ETF, because you have to take the good with the bad. So you get a company like Intel, that keeps surrendering market share. He'd rather own companies that are taking market share or pick and shovel companies that help others take market share.

COMMENT

Will there be a recovery in the economy? It's going to be a bumpy ride. Covid is in control socially and economically right now. Markets always look forward 6-9 months, so he's optimistic of a path towards good returns for equities, despite bouts of volatility.

COMMENT

Interested in retail or travel? Some of the cyclicals, including retailers, consumer discretionary, travel, leisure. They've moved higher since the vaccine announcements. Going forward 12 months out, they'll be positive.

COMMENT

Are dividend stocks vulnerable with the bond yields moving up? He likes dividend growers over dividend payers. As interest rates move up at the long end of the curve, that can affect some of the flat dividend payers.

COMMENT

The market is hostage to the Covid vaccines--Trump has made too many steps to distribute vaccines from the manufacturers into people's arms. The Feds have no real plan. (He just got his shot today.) Biden could deploy the army to help vaccine. We have enough vaccines, but a poor supply chain.

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Stockchase, in its reporting on what has been discussed by individuals on business television programs (in particular Business News Network), neither recommends nor promotes any investment strategies.

We paraphrase the experts by hand, we watch the shows and write down what we understood from the experts’ comments. We are human and can make mistakes, help us fix any errors. If you see something that you know is not right or if there is a problem with the site, feel free to email us at : [email protected].

A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert (A Commentary)

Keystone XL.(A Commentary)

Educational Segment. (A Commentary)

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research.(A Commentary)

A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert(A Commentary)

Tech stocks.(A Commentary)

Consumer stocks.(A Commentary)

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research.(A Commentary)

A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert(A Commentary)

How will the pandemic change your investing style?(A Commentary)

Science is telling us there may be a worse virus to come.(A Commentary)

Index ETFs.(A Commentary)

Will there be a recovery in the economy?(A Commentary)

Interested in retail or travel?(A Commentary)

Are dividend stocks vulnerable with the bond yields moving up?(A Commentary)

A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert(A Commentary)

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