James Paulsen Exxon Mobil XOM-N TOP PICK Apr 02, 2004

He likes that they are downstream in the capex cycle.

The cash flow of integrated energy companies like this allow rising yields and share buybacks.

Very strong management team. Proven resources with excellent capital allocation skills. Investors can get returns without going downmarket into riskier name. Oil industry under valued with lots of opportunity for price appreciation. Balance sheet very stable, great option for the investors in the long term. Return of capital to investors is being expedited along with capital spending on new projects (best of both worlds). 

Exxon is up 17% this year vs. Chevron in the negative. Pick your spots in oil. XOM is a winner.

His firm is doing some research on nuclear power and electricity generators. Hasn't pulled the trigger yet. Likes the idea of data centres driving change in electricity demand. 

This name is about 2/3 oil production, and 1/3 natural gas. Also 13-14 refineries well-placed in the US and elsewhere. Chemical products business. New management has improved margins. Will benefit from Trump trade. Timely entry point.

Oil price is low, OPEC is extending cuts. Expectations of a slower economy impacts demand. May also see challenges if Trump encourages oil production. The challenges are showing up in the oil stocks. 

CNQ chart shows a breakdown, negative profile. He'd hold off for both. Next seasonally strong time is February, perhaps late January. At that time, he'd prefer CNQ.

Is overvalued vs. Chevron. Don't own any oil stocks, because of their high PE which limits their yields.

Amazing capital allocators. Only problem is that political leaders think oil usage is obsolete. A must-own.

It reports Friday. He won't buy any oils, because these companies could cave to Trump's demands of drilling like mad. He thinks they will stay disciplined.

He's bullish energy and this is the must-buy. Scale will matter and XOM can spread its costs over a wide base.