Exxon MobilXOMDON'T BUYMar 13, 2018Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 09, 2026. Market Open.
He's been a consistent bull on this one for all of 2025. Neither the upside nor the downside of Venezuela has anything to do with that. He's bullish about the O&G industry over the next 5 years generally. Best deployer of capital among the global large caps. Really, really likes it. Would absolutely invest at current levels.
Shareholder returns are a little lighter than peers. Valuation a bit higher than peers. Cashflow per share growth is in line with peers, as is the payout ratio. Balance sheet better than peers.
How many boxes does it tick? Ends up being fair. He wouldn't be buying a big oil company right now in front of the OPEC meeting.
From a technical perspective, the stock looks bad. It has had a big fall-off. Going from $88 to $76 is a big drop for a stock like this. There is some buying support, the yield is not bad, but he would recommend caution and a tight stop, perhaps $72 and would not expect a near-term rise higher than $78. There is probably going to be a period of consolidation.