Stockchase Opinions

Jim Cramer - Mad Money Walmart Inc WMT-N COMMENT May 19, 2025

Should Walmart "eat the tariffs," as Trump says?

It would be terrific if Walmart operated as a charity by subsidizing its customers. Problem is retailers have incredibly low profit margins to begin with. Also, they couldn't plan ahead, but nobody knew these tariffs were coming. When they did know, they did their best shifting to sourcing products  from countries that had the lowest tariffs. But you can't change your entire supply chain overnight. Given their huge scale, WMT negotiate the best deal with their suppliers, and have tried not to raise prices that much for customers. They will certainly lose money on some products. Walmart should be the last company on Earth to be singled out for profiteering. 

$98.120

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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DON'T BUY

Great winner. Higher highs, higher lows. Outpacing S&P since late 2021. Lofty valuation of 38x forward PE, for 10% growth. PEG ratio close to 4x. Grocery component insulates it somewhat from online competition.

BUY

It reported last week. This and Costco are benefiting from the economy of scale. Market share is already strong and will gain further.

BUY

They just reported a beat though slower profit growth, so shares were punished. He does NOT see a crash in sales, and the numbers were in fact good.

COMMENT

By and large, commercial real estate landlords do consider this name to be in the grocery space. It's doing a better and better job of that. But not a pure-play grocery. He thinks of defensive, grocery-anchored shopping centres as neighbourhood, urban, smaller centres -- where you can get a haircut and do other errands that can't be done online.

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TOP PICK

Walmart today is a people-led, tech-powered omnichannel retailer dedicated to helping people save money and live better. Since Sam Walton opened the first Walmart, we have opened thousands of stores across the U.S. and internationally. Around the world, customers want the same things: value, a broad assortment of quality items and services, a convenient and enjoyable shopping experience, and to do business with a company they trust. We are on a mission to meet our customers and members wherever they are, with the things they want, where and how they want them. And although the ways we deliver these experiences is changing, and changing fast, our promise to improve the customer and associate experience is constant. Social media mentions are up 188% in the past 24h.

SELL

Probably don't want to buy it today. Concerned with valuation of 34x forward PE for 7% growth. Makes for a high PEG ratio at 5. Trading at 200-day MA, so could be some support there for a trade. Low beta, will do well in an economic downturn as grocery is such a big part of its business. E-commerce is improving. Intense competition.

BUY

They will survive this tariff war, because their sourcing of products is so great.

SELL

Tariffs aren't in place at this point. Tariff talks are coming up this weekend, and things can change on a dime. A year from now, he doesn't see tariffs in place at the levels first announced. Worries on that front are premature.

Technically, the stock is great -- higher highs, higher lows. Valuation's up there at 38x forward PE, for 7-7.5% earnings growth. Expensive at over 5x PEG.

COMMENT
Should Walmart "eat the tariffs," as Trump says?

It would be terrific if Walmart operated as a charity by subsidizing its customers. Problem is retailers have incredibly low profit margins to begin with. Also, they couldn't plan ahead, but nobody knew these tariffs were coming. When they did know, they did their best shifting to sourcing products  from countries that had the lowest tariffs. But you can't change your entire supply chain overnight. Given their huge scale, WMT negotiate the best deal with their suppliers, and have tried not to raise prices that much for customers. They will certainly lose money on some products. Walmart should be the last company on Earth to be singled out for profiteering.