Wells FargoWFCHOLDFeb 18, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 26, 2026. Market Open.
She just bought more. Is surprised it hasn't recovered from being down 11% this year. The last quarter was very good. She expects them to gain market share going forward. Their Return on Tangible Common Equity (ROTCE) targets of 17-18% are not aggressive and could do better, and their guide of net-interest income was better for the full year. At 1.5x book is attractive. The bank has lagged peers but will catch up in coming quarters.
Yesterday, they reported a revenue miss but an earnings beat at 13% earnings growth. Net interest income was light, and net interest margin was stable and came in higher than expected, slightly (they've missed this 9 of the last 10 quarters). Numbers grew in investment banking though the trading and wealth management businesses came up short. Cost controls remain, though. Shares fell 3% yesterday, so he'd buy on this pullback.
It just reported a top and bottom line miss: 4.5% sales growth, 13% earnings growth and a 64% efficiency ratio in Q4 YOY. The earnings shortfall came from higher severance expenses. The business is doing well, but not as well as he and Wall Street were hoping. Still believes in this long-term, but took some shares off the table yesterday. Is still more downside.
Range bound bank, trading in the last 3-4 months, has been terrific. This has been the best performing in the range. Canadian banks have been poor, and the other US banks have not held in nearly as well as this one. Probably the most disciplined, best run US financial institution that exists today. Now the largest lending institution in the US. Trading at a little bit of a premium. Has reduced his weighting and added Bank of America (BAC-N) and Citigroup (C-N). Believes there is more to go for the US banks. (See Top Picks.)