Visa Inc.VTOP PICKFeb 03, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Nov 05, 2026. Market Open.
He reviews over 1k stock charts a day. Financials are one of 3 groups that are looking very favourable. Lots of opportunities, including in China (a tricky market). Just made new 5-year high after consolidating since June 2024.
A definite hold. Right in the centre of his farm team should the macro get a little better.
You'd have to go back a very long time to find his firm holding MA. Owned V for a long time, mainly on the valuation differential. MA has always been 4-6 multiple points higher. Visa is better value. Likes the space.
V might be stronger on the debit card side, which is growing at a faster rate than the credit side. Likes management. PE in the 20s, a discount to normalized multiples. Consistent, predictable. Earnings continue to do well. Nice hedge to a lot of companies that are in the news.
Visa and Mastercard have been treading water the past year because the market has been fixated on AI, but that money has been rotating out of AI into places like credit cards. The two companies have some of the best business models, big moats and trading at attractive PEs, though neither are at decades-long low PEs. Visa's layoff of 7% of workforce is good for the stock. Probably AI is making Visa more productive.
The credit card companies sank last month after Trump wanted to impose a 10% interest rate cap on plastic money, at least temporarily. The scare was enough to plunge Visa from $352 to $327. It fell to as low as $321, but quickly bounced $10. Investors already know that credit card companies are money-making machines. They act as toll booths, taking a fee whenever consumers tap and swipe their cards and, of course, collect those interest rates, mostly over 20%. With credit card adaptation continuing around the world, particularly India, at 7.45% CAGR (compound annual growth) to 2033, the future growth of market leader is virtually assured. Visa keeps beating earnings, as it did throughout 2025. As for the 10% cap, it's unlikely to pass in Washington, and if it did the credit card companies will certainly forbid a lot of American consumers with from obtaining a card. This will wreak havok on the U.S. economy. While it's true that the average American carries US$7,885 of credit card debt, the way to combat that is through education. Financial literacy involves another discussion, but it's something that every individual should undertake and governments and companies themselves should encourage.