Stockchase Opinions

Frank Mersch Visa Inc. V-N BUY Jun 15, 2018

A payments company. In the last 6-9 months they purchased the Euro portion of this company. We are seeing more and more payments of this kind occurring. Payment systems are being embraced globally. Visa and Master card are clearly winning.

$135.100

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

The Wall Street Journal reported that some retailers are looking at exploring the possibility of using stablecoins for customer purchases as an alternative to credit cards. We would not see this as a big threat, and would see the dip as a chance to buy.
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BUY ON WEAKNESS

All credit cards are down 4-5% today on the stablecoin report. Stablecoin has been around, and PayPal has its own. Think about how long it will take in terms of regulations for Walmrt and Amazon to get into this businesses. Also, consumers like to wrack up credit card points. Stablecoin is a long way off. VA and MA are super companies. This is an opportunity.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 17/24, Up 32%)

It still holds a dominant position in world global payments and is still a long term hold with good execution. It trades at a bit of a premium.

BUY
Visa vs. Mastercard

He owns Visa and owned MA a long time ago. Both are great, but he prefers Visa. Visa trades slightly cheaper in terms of valuation, and is much larger than Mastercard (Visa is bigger than all competitors combined). MA is more internationally active. Visa has a higher percentage of debit cards, which grows faster than credit cards. Visa competes well in terms of growth rates with MA, yet trades at a lower multiple, so cheaper. He likes that the debit card business is growing faster than credit cards.

TOP PICK

See his other comments today. Is a juggernaut. Will benefit from higher inflation, because they are paid on transaction volumes, which have not declined. There's great growth in Europe, Latin America, Africa and Canada, though it's subdued in the U.S. P

(Analysts’ price target is $387.33)
WEAK BUY
The US Senate just approved stablecoin

Yes, stablecoin has been weighing on Visa, but he thinks also the Middle East fighting between Iran and Israel. Airlines cancelled flights, so there was concern over credit card spending. Is down 3% today. He target $365.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 18/24, Up 25%)

Such a well-oiled machine. Dip in the chart lately. Massive amount of free cashflow, dominant position. Crucial role in move to digital payments. Still likes very much, though it's now a hold because it's above his buy price.

WATCH

Average rate of return of 20% since it went public. Does take pauses, and it looks to be taking one right now. The drop looks a bit concerning, though still in a normal trading range. If it can hold above the $330 level, it's worthy of buying on this dip. Something bad happened yesterday to cause the almost 5% drop.

But you have to be very careful. You need a trading plan, which means that if it drops below $330, you sell. Solid support at $315.

BUY

Many times people have challenged or sold Visa, and every time they were wrong. They will be wrong again.

HOLD

Is consolidating, just like the S&P these days. Nothing wrong with consolidating, as long as it doesn't break down. Visa's chart looks fine.