Stock price when the opinion was issued
60% of revenues come outside North America, which are currencies that are fading against the strong US dollar which rose along with interest rates. If the USD falls, then the S&P could underperform (they've outperformed the past 10 years). UL needs a lower USD to increase earnings. He still owns it. Pays a near-4% dividend, so he's holding onto it and waiting.
Consumer staples are outperforming in the last few days, and that speaks to the advantage of having a balanced portfolio. Companies like KHC, UL, KVUE, and Nestle. It's not that they won't be affected (their costs would go up), but they're far less cyclical than other businesses. Earnings will be much more stable. Earnings could fall 10%, but not 50%. Dividends will be sustained.
Companies like Unilever and Nestle are huge in NA, but huge globally as well.
New management has made this a growth business again. Earnings and margins are rising. Cost structure is fantastic. Are in 190 countries. Are spinning off their ice cream business which should create shareholder value. Trades at 17x PE and pays a 3.3% dividend. One of the fastest growing consumer products companies.
(Analysts’ price target is $69.60)
Stock has recently started to sell off. All companies in the staple business are probably going to start to sell off as the economy recovers, because people will start to see there is no longer a need for defence. This company did really, really well on the back of emerging markets growth but weaker emerging market currencies have affected them. Wait a couple of years until growth stocks have moved to the next level and when staples will come back.