Stock price when the opinion was issued
Shares are cut in half from highs. Bulls say that Trump's close relationship with Musk should give Tesla a big advantage in self-driving cars and robots. But Tesla's core car business has collapsed and tariffs will be awful. Is the most expensive Mag 7 stock, trading at 87x PE. He can't trust their estimates--their car business is in such bad shape.
Musk is a remarkable entrepreneur, but there's a lot of promotion involved. Right, particularly in the US, the people driving Teslas aren't happy, given DOGE and the White House. We see the backlash with protests. If Tesla survives 10 years, there will probably be a lot of revenue from self-driving cards, but Tesla has to get there. The brand has fallen out of favour. If things go badly in the White House, it would reflect more badly on the company, because Musk is so tied to the White House.
As a car company, never made sense to pay the demanding multiple. So an investor has to put faith in the technology side, and he's not comfortable with that. Musk is in the news big time, and he's not gaining any friends. International blowback against TSLA and Musk, reputational risk. Sales numbers weak.
He reduced his position given macro risk, though the company has done a fine job navigating tariffs. He believes in their self-driving technology, which will be one of the biggest transition in coming years. As for the Musk boycott and falling Tesla sales around the world: Musk has always been controversial, and he says he's returning to Tesla full time.
Tesla was upgraded today with 60% upside based on their new supercomputer, Dojo: Has been very volatile the past year, so manage your risk and position accordingly. Don't get intoxicated by the extreme price moves up. The upgrade is based on the success of self-driving cars and taxis, but we've heard this before and we don't see that trend today.