Dr. Richard Evans
Teva Pharmaceutical
TEVA-N
COMMENT
Jan 25, 2017
One of the generic companies that focuses on the top of the market. They tend to have the newer generics. The bad news is that they are selling in the US to 3 joint ventures. The wholesalers and retailers got together to form joint ventures which controls 80% of generics, so they get much lower selling prices. The trick is to be very efficient in manufacturing, to be able to meet the bids as well as being early in launching drugs that have just gone off patent. A tougher game to play than it used to be. Operationally, the company historically has been very good. It has sold off, and is reasonably attractive.
They went from an in incredibly well managed drug company and then management decided to develop their own drugs and make mistakes. It is difficult to unwind these problems. Turning around a company like this will be difficult because of the debt. This is a highly speculative stock.
Generic brand companies like Teva have struggled in the last 5 years has they competed with each others. Pfizer is in the process of buying one of their competitors and the Pfizer stock dropped 5$ on the announcement. Doesn't own Teva, purchased United Heatlth recently. You can hold but it's not a name he would hold due to the risk and they have no value added.
It's time to get back in. They all went crazy and then slid on sympathy when valiant went bust. There is tremendous value here. His model price is $21.26 or 63% upside. They presented earnings and the balance sheet looks great.
Tends to avoid companies with a ton of debt. Management missteps, and investors are paying for those. In the depths of a tough turnaround. He'd rather own a VTRS, where the debt is manageable, balance sheet's in better shape, with a better growth trajectory.
He's put the white flag up on this one. It's about macro interest rates, currency moves. Don't waste your time with these story stocks. His model price is $18.80, and it could have all the fundamentals, but the macro waves swamp the boat. Go with the big names.
Has owned company for a long period of time in the past.
Previous reasons for owning stock not present anymore.
Waiting to see if new drugs are invented/patented.
One of the generic companies that focuses on the top of the market. They tend to have the newer generics. The bad news is that they are selling in the US to 3 joint ventures. The wholesalers and retailers got together to form joint ventures which controls 80% of generics, so they get much lower selling prices. The trick is to be very efficient in manufacturing, to be able to meet the bids as well as being early in launching drugs that have just gone off patent. A tougher game to play than it used to be. Operationally, the company historically has been very good. It has sold off, and is reasonably attractive.