Stockchase Opinions

Stockchase Insights Stryker Corp. SYK-N HOLD Sep 27, 2023

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

SYK has performed well this year, increasing as much as 24% year-to-date and as high as 48% (before the recent sell-off) on a one-year basis. Its valuation reached its historical high point of ~5.5X forward sales and ~28X forward earnings. Its fundamentals are strong and it continues to expand on most metrics, but we feel that its valuation became too stretched and we're beginning to see its price decline alongside the broader US healthcare market. We would be comfortable continuing to hold this name as part of a long-term healthcare position. 
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WAIT

Problem with the chart right now is it's making a lower high and a lower low. Looks like we just took out the last low. In the near term, that's a downtrend. He doesn't buy into downtrends or ride downhill rollercoasters. If it does decide to stop, reasonable chance that it will stop near old breakout point, ~$300. If it finds support and bounces off, could be a great time to buy.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 11/23, Up 21%)

73% of their business comes from the U.S. with the rest from Europe and emerging markets. They make great surgical products (i.e. hip replacements). Also, surgeons are loyal to SYK products and rarely change brand. Aging demographics and foreign markets offer growth.

HOLD

Good products, good reputation. Good long-term investment in the medical device area. If you own it, keep holding. Her exposure to the space is via ABT and JNJ.

(Analysts’ price target is $379.00)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 20/23, Up 35%)

Such an important area. Fell during Covid because classified as "elective" surgeries, but they aren't, as they help maintain quality of life without medication. Lots of opportunity to grow in EMs. Lots of free cashflow, which can be used for acquisitions.

BUY

They will buy Inari Medical which largely treats a condition called VTE (impacts 900,000 Americans), which will enhance SYK's neuro-vascular business. He likes this deal.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 09/23, Up 42%)

It is a great company, well run, and a core holding. They execute very well on the orthopedic side and is one of the leaders. Five years ago they launched the robotic assisted surgery component which is performing very well. He sees it as a double digit compounder.

BUY

It's the best in medical devices. Tailwinds are the aging demographic and rising elective surgeries coming back.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 28/23, Up 31%)

It produces medical devices which is a good business to be in. The aging population needs their products and there is a backlog from Covid. Their products change the quality of life and reduce hospital stays to a couple of days. 71% of its business comes from the U.S. and there is lots of growth internationally.

HOLD

Owned in the past, but now he owns BSX. Likes the sector, not getting hit as hard today as many other things. Aging population will propel demand for medical devices.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 10/24, Up 0.48%)

Down along with the market. About 73% of revenues from US; rest is from other parts of the world, so lots of growth internationally. Very strong demographic play. Great company.