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StorageVault Canada
SVI-T
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Sep 18, 2023
$4.850
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research
SVI operates in a structure relatively similar to a REIT but is much more growth-focussed. It needs to utilize debt in order to be able to grow its portfolio of assets which it rents out. It has also grown primarily via acquisition. The rising rate environment has created cost pressures, however we do think the outlook is positive. As Canada has already begun cutting rates, we think SVI stands to benefit from lower interest expenses (bottom-line expansion) and being able to isse more debt to finance growth (top line expansion). The industry is capital intensive so while high debt is a risk, it is somewhat unavoidable. We like the outlook for SVI.
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We would be a bit more interested in SVI in the $4.25 range. The company has done an admirable job building out its business and consolidating its acquisitions. There are still plenty of small operators it can acquire. The stock had an initial big run and now has paused a bit (down 19% YTD) as investors reconsider economic prospects and the company's quite-high debt load. We do not think SVI has done anything wrong, but we would consider it a higher risk position now with higher interest rates and somewhat of an economic slowdown. It may see some tax loss selling. Generally though we like it, but would like it more a bit cheaper to reflect some of the risks here.
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