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Banco Santander SASANCOMMENTMar 13, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 16, 2026. Market Open.
He'd probably pick Citi. Slimming down its foreign operations. CEO doing good job with the turnaround. Very reasonable valuations, close to book value.
SAN is a good bank and well-managed. Lots of exposure to Latin/South America and to Europe. The one to pick if you were really intent on international exposure. More volatile, as the economies it's in tend to be more cyclical.
There's lots of talk on the loss of American exceptionalism, and he thinks a lot of that is by people who are angry at America. Those comments are less about businesses and the entrepreneurial spirit. Still seeing pretty dynamic operations in the US.
He's going to pull the lens back, as he likes to look at things from a macro perspective. In 2020, we went from falling interest rates for 40 years to what is likely rising long-term interest rates for the next 25-30 years. That benefits banks in particular.
If you look at the XLF in the US, after going nowhere from 2008-2021, it finally made a new high. Beginning of a new long-term bull market that probably goes on 10-12 years. During that time, earnings go up and so do dividends. The multiple expands.
This year, the European banks joined in. 95% of global banks are trading above a rising 200-day MA. Don't be afraid of a bull market. This name would be a great add to any portfolio. A dividend growth stock, and when there's inflation a rising stream of income is pretty attractive to offset the rising cost of living.
Spanish economy has been good, tourism up, EU interest rates have fallen. Moving forward, where is expansion going to come from? Big risk is what if Spanish economy starts to struggle? If you've done well, consider paring back. Once you double your $$, good time to sell half and then the rest is free.
Storm clouds aren't out there yet. But a stock that's moved this quickly will most likely go sideways or down a little bit. Nothing wrong with taking some profits off the table.
Has liked financials for 3 years. Over last 18 months, has been very focused on international companies.
Largest bank outside the US. As good as any bank in the world, yet trades at just under 10x PE (compared to MS at 17x). Great exposure through South America and Europe. Very strong digital platform, good capital markets and commercial banking businesses. Growing consumer base. He's been buying pretty steadily over last 8-9 months.
This hasn’t turned a corner yet. They are doing fine in Britain. Spain is still an issue. They are having problems in the US, Mexico and Brazil. This is emerging markets, and this is a common theme of many companies out there, especially the banks. You get a slowdown because of the rising US$. The net interest income growth is negative. Efficiency ratios are good and have their costs under control. The nonperforming loans are a little high, which has to do with Spain and Brazil. Trading at 12X earnings. He would be looking at Barclays (BCS-N) which wants to turn itself around and get its BBB credit rating back and are selling off assets in a big way. Tier 1 capital is starting to rise in a big way so it is becoming more profitable. There is also a Swedish bank, Svenska Handlesbanken (?) which has branches in Sweden, Norway, Finland, England, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia. Their business model uses the steeple effect, where head office will give them the product, but it is up to the branch managers to climb to the top of the steeple and whatever they can see in 360° is their territory. They end up with having better margins and better efficiencies because the branch managers have to be accountable for their actions. Dividend has been growing at a 15% clip per year. A rise in interest rate will be beneficial for them.