David DriscollRoss Stores Inc.ROSTBUY ON WEAKNESSJun 07, 2016

The off-price stores like TJX (his favourite) are winners. The Ross CEO is firing on all cylinders. Their merchants are opening up new brands that they can sell. New marketing is increasing sales (Christmas was good) while Ross is investing more in social media (surprising they weren't do this already) to build followers. Shares are +26% this year. It trades at 29x, a little rich and higher than 23x last year, but not pricey compered to TJX's 31x.

Helped by buying goods where the tariff has already been paid by someone else. Key metric is same-store sales: +1% in 2025, and last quarter sales were a little light. Are showing strength in cosmetics, though. They just reiterated ther full-year focast to the upper end of Wall Street's consensus. Numbers were in-line last quarter. Second-best among the discount apparel retailers. Trades at only 22x 2026 PE, lower than peers. PEG ratio is 2.2. They buyback 2% of shares annually.

They do a good job with the balance sheet. They rallied in the summer when we felt the economy cooling, but now these names are struggling with a stronger economy. He prefers TJX. Ross' momentum is broken.

Shares are popping after reporting a beat, and he likes the momentum after this report. They faced tough comps. Shares haven't done much this year until this move. He's been very negative the consumer, but next year he expects retail stocks to do much better.

It reported a strong beat, and it reflects the middle-income consumer. High-income consumers haven't changed their spending, and low-income spenders are facing a lot of pressure, as seen in Dollar General's performance. This reflects the trade down and like has more momentum ahead

It just reported a strong, reflecting how consumers are buying off-price (discounts).

Just sold it. Share are up 21% in last three months off the lows and trades at 22x earnings, but peers like Ralph Lauren are up only 12-13%. Ross is higher because of the notion that 2022's inventory surplus will be good for 2023, so share ran up in anticipation of that.

A discount US retailer found in strip malls. They buy excess inventory from big department stores like Nordstrom. ROST is like Homesense. High margins, low debt. They will thrive as consumers watch their money. Like Dollarama, this is defensive. With some big retailer likely to close, like J. Crew this opens an opportunity for ROST to buy a lot of inventory. (Analysts’ price target is $100.73)

(A Top Pick July 10/17 Up 57%). This is a core holding for him. This was the only stock on the S&P500 that was up in 2008. They are building their store count and buying back shares – all good things.

All 3 of his top picks have an element of defensiveness to them. Out of 500 companies in the S&P 500, this was the only company to post a positive rate of return in 2008. They buy excess inventories from some of the upper-class US stores for their outlet stores. When companies close stores or are having problems, this is good for the likes of this company. ROE is at about 40% and are actively buying back shares. One of the few retailers that are still opening stores. Dividend yield of 1.1%. (Analysts’ price target is $72.50.)