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NYSE:RDS.B
Thinks the 7.4% dividend is secure because the super majors prioritize dividends, even over capital expenditures. There is still a lot of cost-cutting to be done. You want to consider what kind of growth that they may or may not be able to generate, compared to some of the smaller companies. Probably not a bad one to continue to own.
Taking cash flow from operations, minus capital expenditures and minus dividends, the consistency is really with Exxon Mobil (XOM-N) rather than this company. The biggest concern is the glut of supply. Exxon Mobil will probably be shut out of Iran whereas Total (TOT-N) and Royal Dutch Shell will have access to the Iranian oil fields. There are opportunities there, but the issue that occurs is that you have a glut of supply right now and the CapX is being cut back in a huge way. The dividend will probably not be growing over time. Keep an eye on companies that are making acquisitions now, because they are being counter cyclical. That would be the more interesting play.
Just agreed to buy BG Group. BG’s dividend is higher, so by moving it into this company, they are going to save some money. The dividend is definitely sustainable. This is a good place if you just want large cap, but it really hasn’t done much over the last decade. There are other places where you can find better per share growth.
Commodities are so beaten up in general, and if you are going to buy an energy name at this point in the cycle, you want to buy the one with the best balance sheet with a very good management team, and diversified operations. This is on sale right now. He expects dividend growth as well. Yield of 5.34%.