Stock price when the opinion was issued
It's outperformed BCE and Telus which she owns for the dividend (Telus has the most turnaround potential). The street expects Rogers to spin off their sports division. You can't go wrong with any telcos, which aren't getting any love now. They are undercutting each other are prices. She likes it for defence and yields, though is not high-growth
All the telcos are debt-laden, and they have to pay interest on that. Unable to get pricing power from the 5G movement. Now we're coming up on 6G, so they're going to be spending more. But revenues aren't rising. This name hasn't raised dividend in 10 years, as it's had to allocate a lot of capex out of free cashflow.
Not something he wants to get involved in. He does, however, own CCA in client TFSAs.
This year, money has rotated from telcos to cable companies like this one. Inferior network, both wireless and wired. Telcos' capex winding down, cable companies now need to spend to upgrade. Fairly valued today, telecoms are much cheaper and probably due for some sort of mean reversion. Be cautious, but if you already own there's no reason to part with it.
Sports team has added value, but still has to buy out (using debt) the remaining minority stake. Then what? Family may want to still retain control. May not be as big a monetization as people are hoping -- an uncertain catalyst.
RCI.B recently reported earnings showed revenues up 4%, but that EPS was off 4%. Management sees the market getting more competitive, but is standing by their guidance for continued revenue growth and revised forward expenditures downward, which they say will improve free cash flow going forward. Cash reserves are growing, while debt is retired. It trades at 11x earnings, under 2x book and supports a ROE of 47%. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $45, looking to achieve $65 -- upside potential of 18%. Yield 3.6%
(Analysts’ price target is $55.61)