Stockchase Opinions

Don Vialoux Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 QQQ-Q SELL Jul 17, 2017

AMZN-Q vs. QQQ-Q. You can buy very few AMZN-Q shares if you want. There are huge earnings coming in from the technology sector and they report next week. The QQQ-Q’s seasonality reaches its peak on July 17th (today). These stocks are overbought right now. The stocks are starting to struggle. We have already seen the peak in QQQ-Q.

$142.190

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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QQQ vs. XQQ

NASDAQ is primarily tech companies, and you pay up for that. Growth rate for a lot of those companies is strong. But he sees the market broadening out to other sectors. As the economy and the monetary environment improve, we'll see industrials and financials improve. We might even see some rotation.

The US version of a US-stock ETF will always be cheaper. For QQQ, you're paying 20 bps; XQQ is 39 bps, almost double. XQQ is hedged, which hasn't helped you, might help you going forward but doesn't see CAD having a big push against the USD. He'd prefer QQQ, but be cautious on tech at this point.

SELL ON STRENGTH

It's close to overbought. Earnings have supported the rise in megatech stocks lately, but this is due for a small pullback in coming weeks.

BUY

For a tech innovation theme. Well diversified, mega-cap or large-cap positions. Listed in the US, but also available in Canada from many different providers in many different flavours and hedged/unhedged.

TRADE

To protect his downside, he bought 450 puts with a Nov.15 expiration. If the market rolls over, he'll be protected. It's unheard of to recover from the recent volatility so cleanly upward. It's likely there will be some sort of backward move.

TRADE

To protect his downside, he bought 450 puts with a Nov.15 expiration. If the market rolls over, he'll be protected. It's unheard of to recover from the recent volatility so cleanly upward. It's likely there will be some sort of backward move.

TRADE

He uses the QQQ in 2 ways -- for trading and for hedging. The SQQQ is a short on the QQQ -- useful for Canadian platforms that don't allow you to get into futures and options on futures.

COMMENT
Buy the S&P Index or QQQ?

He's a stock-picker, so he wouldn't buy an ETF. However, companies in either of these are the place to be for the next 10 years.

PARTIAL SELL
Sell half, and buy QQQE?

Likes that strategy a lot, makes a lot of sense. It would keep the tech exposure, but de-emphasize the weight of the market cap.

In the US, there are some ETFs in the Innovator line. Gives you upside exposure, but contains buffers that protect on the downside for you.

HOLD

He is seeing growth being the biggest draw down in the market. There are tailwinds for tech so you can look to add if you have a long time frame.

TRADE

Basically the NASDAQ 100. Acts as a benchmark for a lot of people like himself. Extremely liquid. Trade, rather than invest. Top was around $550, and he thinks it will probably take out those highs before the end of the year. 

Based on the look of the chart, he'd write calls against it with a strike of around $530-540. This way, you collect some premiums. If you don't want to get taken out, just keep rolling the strike price up.