Opinions
Jim Cramer - Mad Money
Plug Power Inc
PLUG-Q
BUY
Nov 18, 2020
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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PLUG stock has been quite weak, but it is still in fundamental growth mode. Sales are expected to go from ~$700M in 2022 to more than $1.9B in 2024, based on estimates. It is, however, still losing money, with negative cash flow, and in a weaker market tape investors get more concerned about this. The balance sheet is decent, with about $400M net cash, but we note cash flow was negative $1B in the last 12 months. It will likely need more capital, and it may be more interesting when it decides to issue equity (we are assuming a discounted price if this happens). Its loss last quarter was higher than expected, and it had previously expected to be profitable this year, but this now looks to be pushed into 2025. So, we like the growth trend, but are a little concerned about its capital needs. We think buyers can wait here.
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They just completed a $845 million capital raise. PLUG is the least speculative of the fuel cell plays. In fact, the stock is up since that raise. True, Plug has broken many investors' hearts in the past, floundering for years, but their last report beat the street and customers include Walmart, FedEx, Kroger and Amazon. True, PLUG is still a long way to turning a profit but he enjoys these tailwinds: the Biden presidency will make regulations friendlier to green-energy companies; the price of wind and solar energy keeps getting cheaper; there's a renewable storage problem; and large companies are interested in hydrogen fuel cell power. Japan and Germany are investing in hydrogen power.