Stockchase Opinions

Darren Sissons Pinterest PINS-N COMMENT Jun 11, 2019

He's looked at it a few times. The topline is growing nicely and losing less money year-over-year. Its revenue comes from advertising and he's never made money as an investment in companies with ad-based revenue models. He expects PINS to be taken out at some point, either Google or Facebook.

$26.480

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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BUY

It's surged from $34 to $84 since the TikTok deal collapsed, and now trades at 20x sales--one of the priciest stocks around. He'd like Microsoft to buy Pinterest. PINS benefits from a shift to kinder social media, post-Trump.

HOLD
Hold it. You could get a bump up if ***. This could be taken over down the road.
COMMENT

It is an interesting name. It is very focused on particular interest groups in the social media space. It did well during the pandemic and has pulled back. He does not think it will gain market share from the other social media companies. He would prefer FB-Q or GOOG-Q.

COMMENT
Rumours that PYPL is looking to purchase it around $70 a share. Pretty big nut for PYPL, but it would fit nicely into their model. He owns PYPL instead, and would consider buying more on a further pullback.
DON'T BUY
An expensive stock and he doesn't see a catalyst for these shares to rise.
BUY
The only social media platform to emerge from Q3 unscathed. It's now entering into a cooperation agreement with an activist firm that took a large stake in Pinterest last summer. Elliott Stikeman has a track record of unlocking value. Also, they just got a new CEO.
PARTIAL SELL

In just 3 months, this has jumped from $25 to $37. Take some profits.

TOP PICK

It has been around a long time but many people don't realize that 2 1/2 years ago new management came in and really changed things. They improved the site and are using AI to make both the content and ads more relevant to the users. In the last quarter it had 16% revenue growth and the number of users was up 10% year over year and is accelerating. Ads are increasing too. It also raised guidance. Trades at less than 19 X earnings.
Buy 31  Hold 10  Sell 0

(Analysts’ price target is $40.70)
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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

The pin-board style social media platform has seen a 17% increase in quarterly revenues, an 11% increase in monthly users, and says Gen Z now make up the largest user segment -- thanks to its creative use of AI.  It trades at 17x earnings and supports a 48% ROE.  The company is prudently using some cash reserves to buy back shares.  We recommend setting a stop-loss at $30, looking to achieve $43 -- upside potential of 18%.  Yield 0%

(Analysts’ price target is $43.15)
RISKY

Growth rates are impressive, with expectations for mid-teens EPS growth. Well over 500M monthly active users (400M outside NA, which is interesting). A social platform, which all have taken over the world. Big competition, but a lucrative area. Reasonable multiple. 

No strong opinion against taking a position. However, wonders how wide their standalone moat is. He'd prefer something like META, which has Instagram as part of a much bigger organization.