Stock price when the opinion was issued
It rallied 1.7% on a very choppy day, but the reason is unclear. The market is betting that Trump will let NVDA sell $50 billion of chips this year and China will cut a deal with the U.S. with its rare earths, which the U.S. needs. Who knows what will happen? Anything can happen. If the sale is blocked, then wouldn't this encourage to invest more in making its own chips?
One of the things his team's looking at right now is that it seems some of the regulations surrounding the semiconductor industry will be reduced (specifically China, but other countries as well). That could mean an expanded market for the semi manufacturing equipment companies, such as KLAC. AVGO has also been a strong performer, and he owns some NVDA. Those two names have strong relative price performance, are economically sensitive, cyclical, and have pricing power.
Considers the US restrictions as short-term obstacles. Stock's starting to rebound quite nicely. The leader today in AI computing, and for the foreseeable future. Strong global thirst and demand for AI infrastructure. Unmatched advantages compared to other names in the space. Data centres are driving growth. Recent earnings beat.
AI adoption is still in very early stages. Still trading at 1x PEG ratio. Earnings growth is not reflected in the valuation. Sees EPS at 33% going forward. Yield is 0.03%.
He loves the semis sector and this stock. It was upgraded today with an analyst raising the price target to $250, but he can't see NVDA shares double or triple.