Mike Capombassis Netflix Inc. NFLX-Q BUY Sep 01, 2016

The price target was raised today. Is up 36% this year. It's a permanent compounder. They still own the streaming space, are #1. Looks great. Has so many tailwinds. Is recession resistant.

Is the leader in streaming. But you have to be a little wary of film accounting--you put the cash out front, but accountants will amortize that cost over time. So, earnings don't really reflect the true cash impact on an expanding portfolio of new releases. For a long time, NFLX was challenged on a cost basis, nor producing free cash. This is past and are now producing free cash.

They won the streaming wars already. RSI is 62, so not overbought. Is 3% below all-time highs. It's possible they could add user-generated content like YouTube. Don't expect this to perform as well as it has.

Was upgraded today. Up 38% this year. Operating margins were up 32% last quarter and EPS +25%. However, US growth was only 9%. So, there's lots of room to run internationally. Continues to like it. Expenses will this quarter though will content to come.

They will be the internet channel for the world. Is worth $542 billion. Don't double down because you might get an intra-day swing when you can buy. Is one of the best run companies in the world.

It reports Thursday. Price targets and expectations have risen so high, that they must deliver an excellent quarter or the stock will tumble. He's a little nervous though he expects a good quarter.

Did everything right, yet down today ~4%. Expectations have been set very high for the traditional growthy and earnings momentum names. If everybody owns the stock, what's your next move? Someone out there didn't like what they saw and hit the sell button, and then it's just investor psychology at work.

He wrote a covered call on half his position before the report. Sold to open the July 25th $1,245 strike for $57 or 130% annualized (1-week calls). Close this morning at the open for $12 and netted $45 profit. Loves it long term, hold forever.

They just reported. They grew revenues by 16%, slightly beating, revenue growth is driven by higher subscription prices, and operating margins beat slightly. Blockbuster releases included season 2 of Squid Games and the new Tyler Perry movie. They also gave great guidance for this quarter. But expectations were sky high, and audience engagement as up only 1% this year, disappointing the street, which thought future growth could slow. They sold off, because shares came into the quarter too hot. The conference call outlined exciting growth to come, including use of AI they just started to use in content. Remains best of breed in streaming.

Leader in the streaming market. Content library continues to grow, with local content in different countries, and that's supporting rapid international growth. Revenue for fiscal 2026 expected to exceed $50B USD, driven by global expansion. Ad-supported tier has been very successful, as has password-sharing crackdown. Strong financial performance, with revenues accelerating and margins expanding. 

40x forward PE, but 27-30% expected growth rate. Tech company, but great valuation. No dividend.