Opinions Peter Hodson
Nebius Group NBISTOP PICKSep 19, 2025
Peter HodsonStock price when the opinion was issued
As of Nov 12, 2026. Market Open.
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Premium contentIn the last quarter, the company reported -0.12 USD per share, beating the -0.72 USD estimate by 83.36%. Revenue for the same period reached 582.30 M USD, despite the estimate of 569.89 M USD. For the next quarter, analysts expect -0.78 USD in earnings per share and 907.61 M USD in revenue. Social media mentions are up 477% in the past 24h.
Premium contentAfter starting the week above $212, the stock suffered consecutive daily declines, sinking to a closing price of $148.22. This was driven by a broad spike in credit default swap costs that hit the cloud-based AI infrastructure sector hard. The share price surged sharply rising more than 20% intraday on Thursday, July 30 and recovered to around $189.12. Social media mentions are up 111% in the past 24h.
They owned it when it was called Yandex, something like the Google of Russia. The company moved to Israel and the Netherlands. Nebius specializes in building out a full AI stack. It has legs with a $19 billion deal with Microsoft which gives them cash flow. The recent META announcement has created competition which caused the drop. It's starting to come back now.
Premium contentIn the last quarter, the company reported -0.32 USD per share, beating the -0.77 USD estimate by 57.72%. Revenue for the same period reached 399.00 M USD, despite the estimate of 375.13 M USD. For the next quarter, analysts expect -0.56 USD in earnings per share and 592.69 M USD in revenue. Social media mentions are up 197% in the past 24h.
Premium contentIn the last quarter, the company reported -0.32 USD per share, beating the -0.77 USD estimate by 57.72%. Revenue for the same period reached 399.00 M USD, despite the estimate of 375.13 M USD. For the next quarter, analysts expect -0.56 USD in earnings per share and 594.84 M USD in revenue. Social media mentions are up 323% in the past 24h.
Reported this morning, up 15% last he checked.
Think of them as intelligence farms and data centres. You can get a lot more $$ from renting the GPUs than people had thought, and the assets don't depreciate as quickly as feared. There's just so much demand.
CRWV was contentious when it came out, as it was a race between its interest expense on debt versus revenue generated from renting out compute.
Likes both, prefers NBIS. A bit more responsible with its balance sheet.
Premium contentIn the last quarter, the company reported -0.99 USD per share, beating the -1.03 USD estimate by 3.75%. Revenue for the same period reached 227.70 M USD, despite the estimate of 247.28 M USD. For the next quarter, analysts expect -0.77 USD in earnings per share and 375.13 M USD in revenue. Social media mentions are up 153% in the past 24h.
Has done well. Be careful. Not a long-term hold. There's a reason MSFT is renting from them and not building the data centres themselves. It's a commodity business over time. Not the best proposition in the value chain.
Tactically, the golden time to own. So hold on, don't trim yet. But keep an eye on the trigger for when to get out.
AI data centre market, along with 4-5 other divisions. Stock's moving now because of AI. Lots of experience in data centres. Last week, won $19.5B contract from MSFT. They also raised $4.5B in capital. So market cap's gone from $2-3B to $20B. Not a slam dunk, but the MSFT deal gives them business for a year and they build out from there.
(Analysts’ price target is $127.20)Research from GS suggests revenue base will go up 26x by end of 2026. Trading at 5x revenue, compared to many peers at 15-20x. No dividend.