Nebius Group NBISDON'T BUYJan 24, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Nov 12, 2026. Market Open.
They owned it when it was called Yandex, something like the Google of Russia. The company moved to Israel and the Netherlands. Nebius specializes in building out a full AI stack. It has legs with a $19 billion deal with Microsoft which gives them cash flow. The recent META announcement has created competition which caused the drop. It's starting to come back now.
Reported this morning, up 15% last he checked.
Think of them as intelligence farms and data centres. You can get a lot more $$ from renting the GPUs than people had thought, and the assets don't depreciate as quickly as feared. There's just so much demand.
CRWV was contentious when it came out, as it was a race between its interest expense on debt versus revenue generated from renting out compute.
Likes both, prefers NBIS. A bit more responsible with its balance sheet.
Has done well. Be careful. Not a long-term hold. There's a reason MSFT is renting from them and not building the data centres themselves. It's a commodity business over time. Not the best proposition in the value chain.
Tactically, the golden time to own. So hold on, don't trim yet. But keep an eye on the trigger for when to get out.
Up 108% since Oct. 21. A cloud server. Up 7.9% today. It used to be Yandex, the Google of Russia, which no one paid attention to. They plan to acquire as many GPUs as they can and build-new data centres. Their core is the AI infrastructure business. There's limited financial info, but adjusted EBITDA is -$7 million billion last December. When shares jumped last December, Citron Research recommended it twice, but Citron has been charged with fraud twice in an alleged pump and dump operation. NBIS claims to be close to NVDA, but that is in doubt. It trades at 20x its full-year revenue forecast--very expensive.