Stockchase Insights Nebius Group NBIS-Q HOLD Sep 12, 2025

Up 108% since Oct. 21. A cloud server. Up 7.9% today. It used to be Yandex, the Google of Russia, which no one paid attention to. They plan to acquire as many GPUs as they can and build-new data centres. Their core is the AI infrastructure business. There's limited financial info, but adjusted EBITDA is -$7 million billion last December. When shares jumped last December, Citron Research recommended it twice, but Citron has been charged with fraud twice in an alleged pump and dump operation. NBIS claims to be close to NVDA, but that is in doubt. It trades at 20x its full-year revenue forecast--very expensive.

Out of Europe, but previously out of Russia. Pretty fully priced. Full-stack infrastructure for AI-centric cloud platforms. Management knows their stuff.

A lot of the market cap is in cash but the company is also going to be deploying that cash into data centers to facilitate their growth in the near future. The operational risk is more from an execution point of view and that the revenues aren't 'there yet'. So, while they have guided to a large ramp in revenues, they still need to show that they can actually deliver this revenue growth and as always, nothing is guaranteed on this front. On top of the operational risk it is also just a volatile stock which adds 'risks' and markets remain fairly skittish on the space since the Deepseek drama a few months back. We think it is interesting under $30. Valuation is a bit of a moving target from data providers, but if the company hits their recurring revenue guidance at year end of $750 million to $1 billion, it would be trading at something around EV/'Sales' of 3.5X to 4.5X. 
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The old Yandex, which was the cloud provider in Russia. Moved to the Netherlands after the Ukraine conflict. Has done well, smart management. A name for some growth. Price target is $110.