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Monster Beverage CorpMNSTPARTIAL SELLApr 09, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 17, 2026. Market Open.
A great company, but the 44x PE is too high. He's watching for shares to fall 50%. MNST is losing market share in some markets to Red Bull. Historically, MNST is one of the best performers ever on the S&P. Generally, he buys companies that generate at least 20% rate of return, the PE is below 20x, and earnings grow 15-20%.
It is in an attractive space. It has 60% margins in the domestic and North American side but 34% in the International side where sales are ramping up. It is getting used to running the overseas business so there is great upside potential. Had a recent stock split. A beginning position at $52 would have limited downside. Buy 17 Hold 9 Sell 1
(Analysts’ price target is $60.00)(A Top Pick Dec 22/15. Down 12.48%.) As they build out their Coke international distribution channel, the volumes will come through. There is a lot of lumpiness associated with that right now. The nice thing is that they are gaining share of a growing pie and have great free cash flow. It just needs a little bit of time. (See Top Picks.)
(A Top Pick Nov 17/15. Down 11.51%.) This has been a little tough, and he had warned that it would be choppy. The reason for choppiness is the Coca-Cola (KO-N) deal. They are now tapping into this enormous network. They did an acquisition which will be accretive to them. Feels there is still lots of upside.
If you own, you have made some good money, so he would take some profits off the table and hang onto some just in case it keeps going. This is pretty stretched in terms of valuation. Trading at 40X forward PE. It does have a long-term growth rate in the mid to high teens, which is very good, but it still gives it a peg ratio of 2.2.