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Meta Platforms IncMETABUYJul 17, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 27, 2026. Market Open.
It's his largest position. It's down due to the lawsuit about social media addiction among children. Their moat is that half the planet uses Instagram, Whatsapp or Facebook daily. Is there social media addiction? Yes. Are children not developed enough to use them? Yes. Weakness now is an opportunity, as it trades below 20x PE. Strong cash generation. Watch their capex spend--wants to see returns, but has faith in the CEO.
(Analysts’ price target is $745.29)They just reported a revenue beat, but earnings missed due to a $2.4 billion in legal contingencies. Guidance for this quarter was weak and they narrowed their full-year capex forecast, raising it slightly. Shares are getting killed after hours. The stock is trying his patience. Wants their AI spending to be more creative to monetize Whatsapp
Are concerns about capex spending by Meta and peers. But Meta can increase cash flow because of their consumer base. Can these companies support future capex spending? They would need cash flow support. And within their base business, do they have pricing power, and other businesses that can generate revenue? For Meta: yes to all.
He just bought it as a new buy. For 2 years, there's been criticism of their AI spend, but recently they've gone from blindly spending to a path to revenue though isn't sure if their new Spark 1.1 will be profitable. But they can sell some of their space within their compute, which makes them a competitor to Google and Amazon. He likes how they're branching beyond an ad company.
Trades at 20x PE, but has gone from huge free cash flow to low. But they have $200 billion revenue from their social media business, which is growing at 28%. It will probably return to free cash flow positive. The CEO will prove that he's focused on efficiency. It's the only Mag 7 stock she will buy.
Investors are concerned about how much $$ it's spending -- will it pay off in the long term? We'll see. Compared to AMZN and GOOG, it's not really in the cloud; recent announcement of neocloud still leaves them behind the 8-ball.
Moving down for past year, 200-day MA flat to slightly trending lower. Not expensive, under 1x PEG. Earnings growth of 15%, 20x forward PE.
Remember, it took Amazon, Google and Microsoft a decade to build their cloud businesses, so this will not happen overnight for Meta, if it happens. It would diversify their companies, so that's good, instead of 100% ads. She's tired of them spending and not delivering he results. So many question marks about how they will grow. She is looking elsewhere. They lost $8 billion on Reality Labs. A headache.
Trades at only 17x PE, as the street's been concerned that all its capex is not being utilized properly. Starting to sell some excess capacity in the neocloud. Needs to improve ROIC, and stop spending $$ on tangential projects. People are cautious. Monetization is seeing some traction. Likes it at these levels.
She likes it; it shows Meta being financial savvy and maximizing returns.