Medtronic IncMDTTOP PICKJul 18, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 09, 2026. Market Open.
Is positive this short/medium-term. Are attacking Boston Scientific and other peers, but unlike them, MDT doesn't have the R&D power to maintain leadership. Is a trade, not long-term investment. Unlike peers, MDT is diversified (i.e. not focused only on knee devices). MDT's PE got too cheap and product launches were successful, which should carry the stock for 12-18 months, but not beyond that.
MDT is a mature MedTech company that is now trading at a 15.9x Forward P/E. Over the last few years, MDT’s valuation has ranged from 13.4x to 22.8x Forward P/E, we think the current valuation is fairly attractive. MDT’s share price has performed well recently due to a combination of 1) investors moving to defensive sectors with stable cash flows 2) MDT reported very solid earnings with a 5.3% organic growth rate.
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MDT is a mature MedTech company that is now trading at a 15.9x Forward P/E. Over the last few years, MDT’s valuation has ranged from 13.4x to 22.8x Forward P/E, we think the current valuation is fairly attractive. MDT’s share price has performed well recently due to a combination of 1) investors moving to defensive sectors with stable cash flows 2) MDT reported very solid earnings with a 5.3% organic growth rate.
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On the cusp of a transformational acquisition, the $43 billion purchase of Covidian (COV-N). This changes their headquarters with a tax inversion deal, making Covidian a 30% owner of the new Medtronic. In order for a tax inversion to take place, you have to own at least 20%, so maybe the extra buffer of 30% will appease regulators, and keep everybody happy. This would allow them to have foreign profit, somewhere in the realm of about $14 billion, and be able to re-disperse them among their existing shareholders. A good line of sight for a growing dividend, further share buybacks, as well as future tuck in acquisitions. This deal would make them the biggest and most diversified medical devices company globally. Also, developing a series of new products. Yield of 1.97%.