Opinions
Mohsin Bashir
Medtronic Inc
MDT-N
TOP PICK
Jul 18, 2014
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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MDT is a mature MedTech company that is now trading at a 15.9x Forward P/E. Over the last few years, MDT’s valuation has ranged from 13.4x to 22.8x Forward P/E, we think the current valuation is fairly attractive. MDT’s share price has performed well recently due to a combination of 1) investors moving to defensive sectors with stable cash flows 2) MDT reported very solid earnings with a 5.3% organic growth rate.
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MDT is a mature MedTech company that is now trading at a 15.9x Forward P/E. Over the last few years, MDT’s valuation has ranged from 13.4x to 22.8x Forward P/E, we think the current valuation is fairly attractive. MDT’s share price has performed well recently due to a combination of 1) investors moving to defensive sectors with stable cash flows 2) MDT reported very solid earnings with a 5.3% organic growth rate.
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On the cusp of a transformational acquisition, the $43 billion purchase of Covidian (COV-N). This changes their headquarters with a tax inversion deal, making Covidian a 30% owner of the new Medtronic. In order for a tax inversion to take place, you have to own at least 20%, so maybe the extra buffer of 30% will appease regulators, and keep everybody happy. This would allow them to have foreign profit, somewhere in the realm of about $14 billion, and be able to re-disperse them among their existing shareholders. A good line of sight for a growing dividend, further share buybacks, as well as future tuck in acquisitions. This deal would make them the biggest and most diversified medical devices company globally. Also, developing a series of new products. Yield of 1.97%.