McDonaldsMCDCOMMENTDec 19, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 04, 2026. Market Open.
Half its business is NA, half international. Not a huge amount of growth, perhaps 5-6%. EPS growth of 7-8%. Opens a few new stores a year. More of a landlord, with over 90% franchised. Very high ROIC.
Only 20x PE today, down from historically high 20s. In his world, it's a staple not discretionary :) Yield is 2.65%.
Was downgraded last Friday and today over fears they won't meet expectations this quarter, including disappointment over MCD's new chicken strips dish, that it won't turn things around. Rather, customer prefer heavily breaded chicken and the find these strips ugly. However, history says it has never paid to downgrade MCD. It's the king, offering good value and is highly well-run. The CEO will figure it out.
This has been a fantastic performer. Without question, it is the best restaurant property in its space. Over the decades, they have reinvented themselves a number of times, from a burger/chip joint to a healthier menu. They’re also becoming much more efficient in their operations, currently franchising a large percentage of their company owned stores. This gives them higher return on invested capital.