McDonaldsMCDPAST TOP PICKSep 27, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
Half its business is NA, half international. Not a huge amount of growth, perhaps 5-6%. EPS growth of 7-8%. Opens a few new stores a year. More of a landlord, with over 90% franchised. Very high ROIC.
Only 20x PE today, down from historically high 20s. In his world, it's a staple not discretionary :) Yield is 2.65%.
Was downgraded last Friday and today over fears they won't meet expectations this quarter, including disappointment over MCD's new chicken strips dish, that it won't turn things around. Rather, customer prefer heavily breaded chicken and the find these strips ugly. However, history says it has never paid to downgrade MCD. It's the king, offering good value and is highly well-run. The CEO will figure it out.
(A Top Pick Sept 17/15. Up 22.92%.) Sold his holdings. Still likes the name, but when you make that kind of money in a year, you take a hard look to see if the growth or the future upside is nearly as compelling. He went into another food retailer. Still a safe name to hold, but not a lot of upside in the near term.