McDonaldsMCDTOP PICKNov 20, 2012Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
Half its business is NA, half international. Not a huge amount of growth, perhaps 5-6%. EPS growth of 7-8%. Opens a few new stores a year. More of a landlord, with over 90% franchised. Very high ROIC.
Only 20x PE today, down from historically high 20s. In his world, it's a staple not discretionary :) Yield is 2.65%.
Was downgraded last Friday and today over fears they won't meet expectations this quarter, including disappointment over MCD's new chicken strips dish, that it won't turn things around. Rather, customer prefer heavily breaded chicken and the find these strips ugly. However, history says it has never paid to downgrade MCD. It's the king, offering good value and is highly well-run. The CEO will figure it out.
You don’t often get a dividend champion that you can buy on this type of pull-back. 3.7% yield. Paid or raised dividends for about 36 years. He is buying it because it has pulled back enough to warrant buying it, not because of the fiscal cliff and people will have to eat. North America did very well due to their coffee. Europe pulled them back.