Mike Vinokur
Marriott International Inc.
MAR-Q
WEAK BUY
Jan 07, 2025
Great management running a capital-lite business. MAR puts their name on a hotel that others manage. A great business model. His one caveat is that hotels are a cyclical industry; if revenge travel ends, forward earnings could disappoint. US travel is strong, but not Europe. He's cautious about travel. He's surprised that with Airbnb and VRBO that hotel rates are so high.
Has owned this for a long time and sees more upside. Trades at a high 24x PE and 14% 2025 earnings growth. But it's an asset-lite cash cow with growth.
Just sold it though they have a great business model and travel remains strong, but they lag their peers. He held this for a long time and decided to take profits.
Great management running a capital-lite business. MAR puts their name on a hotel that others manage. A great business model. His one caveat is that hotels are a cyclical industry; if revenge travel ends, forward earnings could disappoint. US travel is strong, but not Europe. He's cautious about travel. He's surprised that with Airbnb and VRBO that hotel rates are so high.