Opinions
Barry Schwartz
Magellan Aerospa
MAL-T
BUY
Mar 28, 2016
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Has always had nice contracts with Boeing and Airbus. It has been a long horizon for them to get to the stage to finally enjoy some of these great contracts. As long as the aerospace business continues to do well, and he thinks it will, the company will do well. This is one you probably should think about owning.
Manufactures components for Airbus and Boeing. Trading at 11X trailing earnings and 10X forward earnings. They’ve done an incredible job. At some point, maybe they buy something, and then they can add some liquidity. A good balance sheet. They’ve grown the earnings at 24% over the last few years. Dividend yield of 1.5%. (Analysts’ price target is $23.25.)
He really likes this company. The multiple is very low. When he recommended it in the past, it was about 10X earnings. You only have to get a couple of multiple readings above that to get a much, much higher stock price. Last quarter wasn’t great, but thinks the cash flow generation is still there. The problem is that it is very illiquid, so for individuals it is a good one to own, but for institutions it is difficult.
(A Top Pick Feb 28/17. Up 17.83%.) A very low multiple stock. Trades at around 11.5-12×2018 earnings. Part of the reason is that there is not much liquidity with the company. All the other companies in this space trade at around 18X earnings. There is a good chance this company may eventually get taken out. He is going to continue to hold.
EPS of 11c beat estimates of 10c; Revenue of $235.2M missed estimates by 2.6%. EBITDA of $21.69M missed estimates by 10%. Revenue rose 5.3%. EPS rose from 7c in the prior period. EBITDA rose 17%. Canada revenue declined, but US revenue rose more than 20% on volume increases for fighter and wide-bodied aircraft. Strong growth is expected in 2024 overall. We would consider the quarter, OK, but not great. The stock remains cheap, but unexcitng.
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The stock is cheap, and acting better. The sector (in the US, mostly) has been seeing some good numbers recently. It hit a 52-week high this week. We think it can be held, and >$10 is possible, even $12 under good conditions. $16 we think would be a stretch.
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A real Canadian success story. Manufacturers landing gears. Doesn’t have a lot of customers to sell its products to, but has an entrenched relationship. Over time he expects we will see more air travel, especially coming out of Asia. An interesting way to play that.