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Magellan AerospaceMAL.TOTOP PICKApr 21, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 15, 2026. Market Open.
High insider ownership, so company is relatively undiscovered. One investor owns more than 50% of the company -- so it doesn't screen well for institutional investors. Business is booming.
Defense (~30% of its business, and he anticipates 45-50% in future) and aerospace. Good backlog. Seeing record requests for proposals, especially on defense. Huge operating leverage to get higher margins, which will increase FCF. One of the cheapest in the sector within NA. Yield is 0.83%.
The stock is cheap, and acting better. The sector (in the US, mostly) has been seeing some good numbers recently. It hit a 52-week high this week. We think it can be held, and >$10 is possible, even $12 under good conditions. $16 we think would be a stretch.
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EPS of 11c beat estimates of 10c; Revenue of $235.2M missed estimates by 2.6%. EBITDA of $21.69M missed estimates by 10%. Revenue rose 5.3%. EPS rose from 7c in the prior period. EBITDA rose 17%. Canada revenue declined, but US revenue rose more than 20% on volume increases for fighter and wide-bodied aircraft. Strong growth is expected in 2024 overall. We would consider the quarter, OK, but not great. The stock remains cheap, but unexcitng.
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We reiterate MAL as a TOP PICK. Recently reported earnings demonstrated growing cash reserves, while debt was retired and shares bought back. Purchasers of their airplane components have large backlog orders from 2025 leftover and spending on defense aviation is expected to grow. We recommend trailing up the stop (from $18) to $20, looking to achieve $29 -- upside potential of 20%. Yield 0.8%
(Analysts’ price target is $28.00)