Stockchase Opinions

Jim Cramer - Mad Money Lyft LYFT-Q DON'T BUY Oct 10, 2022

Uber vs. Lyft Uber has rebounded from its bottom in late-June and has left behind Lyft. Lyft is down 77% in the past year and Uber 42%. Uber is winning in truck brokerage and food delivery businesses, not just ride sharing. Both reported solid sales in early May, but guidance was dour. Lyft reported driver shortages, but oddly enough Uber said it had no such shortages. A private email by Uber's CEO said it would pivot to become a cash machine. Lyft said this a month later. 29 In August, Uber reported a solid beat. So did Lyft, but its free cash flow came in negative and guidance was mixed. So, shares continued to diverge. Uber can execute and has the right strategy. Also, it's taking more market share. A UBS survey says that drivers prefer Uber, hands down.
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DON'T BUY
It got downgraded today. It has so many near-term challenges.
DON'T BUY
Will cut 30% of its workforce

They keep losing money as there's no path to profitability. It's a bad signal that they want to get rid of their founders.

DON'T BUY
Announced layoffs of 30% of workforce

Two years ago you could have owned both. Today, this game has completely changed. It boils down to management.

WATCH

The new CEO announced layoffs, which signalled that he bit the bullet and made a good move. Give this two quarters and see.

DON'T BUY

Not a viable competitor to UBER, and the results show it.

WATCH

She also finds Lyft interesting under a new CEO, more interesting that Uber. She's watching Lyft more than Uber.

DON'T BUY

Lags Uber while Lyft has fallen off. The stock has based around $10 for the past 1.5 years. The company needs to do something: innovate, change CEO. Maybe you can trade this trading range. Otherwise, you need to see a breakout.

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TOP PICK

Lyft was founded in 2012 by logan green and john zimmer to improve people’s lives with the world’s best transportation, and is available to approximately 95 percent of the united states population as well as select cities in canada. lyft is committed to effecting positive change for our cities by offsetting carbon emissions from all rides, and by promoting transportation equity through shared rides, bikeshare systems, electric scooters, and public transit partnerships. Social media mentions are up 250% in the past 24h.

BUY

Is down 28% this year, so it's now cheap enough to buy, and it enjoys a duopoly with Uber. Shares were overheated before, reasonable now.

DON'T BUY

Is surprised with its weakness. Nobody talks about the costs of operating self-driving cars, like insurance, and the costs could be disastrous for Lyft.