Stockchase Opinions

Peter Hodson Lucara Diamond Corp LUC-T COMMENT Nov 02, 2016

The diamond business is tough. It pays a dividend of 1.6%. Changed their production method to go after some giant stones. The valuation, cash, potential all looks good. Very cheap at 9X earnings and has a ton of cash.

$3.710

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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HOLD

They are the best of the diamond companies around the world when diamond prices and demand are falling. He would also favour a long term approach to diamonds and you could buy it now for a long term hold.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

They have a habit of finding huge outsized diamonds. The diamond market right now is in an oversupply situation, because of the mines in Russia. Doesn’t think that should last too much longer. He would wait for a pullback. Has owned this in the past.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

A diamond miner, and it seems like the pipe they are mining right now continues to produce giant diamonds. Thinks they will continue to execute. Has a steady cash flow from mining normal diamonds, and then, every once in a while, they find a monster diamond, which is going to do great things for their cash flow. You can probably expect special dividends occasionally. A little volatile, so you can trade around it.

COMMENT

The diamond business is really, really tough. It is hard to find a mine, and costs billions to develop it. For the sector, this is probably the best company you could buy. It has a nice dividend and a nice cash position. They paid a special dividend last year. There is the potential to find giant diamonds, which they already have. They’ve changed their production profile so that they can find giant diamonds. It is worth owning for the dividend and the special dividends along the way. Dividend yield of 2.1%.

BUY

He is a founding shareholder, but got nervous of the diamond business and got out. He would own it because it is controlled by the Lundin family.

BUY

Once owned it. The new CEO (a successful woman with a good track record) replaced the former CEO who was burned out. An essential stock to own in the diamond space. He may rebuy it.

HOLD
They found so many large rocks that they had trouble selling some of them. The stock looks cheap but diamond prices have come off a bit. It's not a bad place to be, though.
DON'T BUY
Good and bad. The CEO is great whom she knows. Most of their cash flows comes from a handful of large diamonds, but luckily they turn them up regularly. Diamond markets are spotty and there are wider fears of a global slowdown. Also, there are worries of fake diamonds out there. He doesn't understand the dynamics of the diamond market well enough to recommend this.
DON'T BUY
The company has suspended its dividend. They operate diamond mines in South Africa. They are looking into underground, from open pit. The cost is more expensive than thought. The price of diamonds has been reduced, though retail prices won’t change.