Stock price when the opinion was issued
Has held in remarkably well; considered a defensive name when markets turn volatile with risk of economic slowdown. Traffic gravitated to its discount banners. Pharmacists' roles have expanded at SDM, which also helps drive traffic. Plans to open more pharmacy-based clinics across Canada. Executing very well. Not inexpensive at 22x forward PE, wait for a pullback.
Depends where you own it. If in a taxable account and you have to pay capital gains, he'd say no. If it's in a registered account, it becomes a very good question, and he'd say yes.
It was on its back forever, and look at it now. There's a lesson for all investors: a lot of stocks take their time to shine. Still has a 10% growth rate, trades at 22x PE (kind of expensive, but WMT trades at 33x and COST at 45x). He thinks the whole space is pricey, and he'd put $$ into other areas.
Likes its positioning in food retail and its pharmaceutical business. Expansion of pharmacists' duties is helping traffic. Discount banners have really been benefiting from softness in the economy, and they have plans to expand the discount footprint. Acquisition of TNT, an Asian chain, is going well.
He wouldn't buy it today. It is expensive with a greater multiple than Metro or Empire. It is low margin business and can be considered a defensive stock. Costco is a great name in the space. The question also asked his opinion on buying it before or after the split. He would probably buy it before.
Stock split doesn't change his view of the fundamentals, which he likes. Leading grocer. Advantaged by all its discount banners, and consumers are gravitating toward these with all the economic uncertainty. Store brands like President's Choice and no name are resonating well. Shoppers DM has high organic growth prospects. Biggest loyalty program in Canada. PC Financial is another good segment.
Likes family-led companies, as they go for the long game.
Had a monster quarter which he thinks was a result of better same-store sales and the spectre of higher inflation in the 2nd half. Company is saying they have $300 million in synergies from Shoppers over the next 3 years. Have an SAP rollout that is intact. He forecasts really good operational earnings growth of about 19% over the next few years, 12% cash flow growth and pretty decent dividend growth of around 7.4%. It is vulnerable that you are not going to get as much inflation in food as the market is positioned for. He would buy this at a lower price.