Stockchase Opinions

Elliott Fishman Crius Energy Trust KWH.UN-T BUY Jun 25, 2018

The high 11.6% dividend scares him. It could be adjusted. That said, he'd buy it. It turned when energy fell then flattened. KWH itself is in an interesting spot. Buy or hold.

$7.200

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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BUY

Does utility contracts for retail housing, etc. Just made a big acquisition of a US energy company. He likes the company. One of the risks is that they have high churn rates. So far, they’ve done a good job. Have been increasing the dividend fairly consistently and the distribution looks stable. It has some growth potential. They've entered the solar space as well. There is a lot to like here. He would buy this more for income than for growth. Dividend yield is 9%.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Apr 11/17, Down 17%) A short report came out yesterday. It is a higher risk income stock. Around the 9% area. The usual concern is that they sell Nat gas contracts and there is a high customer churn. It is not a new story. That is just what they do. There is concern on their payout ratio. They just acquired a company in the US that should help boost their cash flows.

DON'T BUY

Disappointing quarter, so the share price dropped. Dividend is well-covered, though it's over 10%. Some growth would help them.

BUY

It is a higher risk income stock. They sell energy contracts that you can lock into. They have to make more customers than they lose. Their recent quarter looked good and alleviated a lot of concerns that existed with the company.

BUY

Just Energy vs. Crius: Just's chart hasn't performed well. It trades at a fair 5x EBITDA. Problem with these companies is that they're an energy marketers, but the market believes it better to own the client (producer), not the marketer. You're much better with Cruis: activist investors moved onto the board, better yield, less levereg.

HOLD

The stock has been really weak and there has been no news to justify it. They raised the distribution in January and the payout ratio is still okay. It looks like sellers are selling only because it is down. He believes management and thinks it is okay – although does not like buying into negative momentum on price. Yield 13%.

COMMENT

Shares are seeing a big drawdown driven by fear. But their recent quarter was good with revenues up and dispelled some of those concerns. Pays a 13% yield, with 4x cash flow. The yield is a red flag. Maybe 8% is appropriate.

COMMENT

Just energy vs. Crius Energy Trust: Similar companies, valuations and dividends. He prefers Crius because he knows it better and are shifting their client portfolio to more commercial and higher-margin companies. He likes this shift.

WATCH
It formed a nice base. It has a strong yield. It is coming out the last few days. We are getting close to a break out.