Stock price when the opinion was issued
Continues to be a great name. Some of the weakness can be contributed to consumer discretionary names weakening a bit. There are also some current concerns on inventory build in the company. Currently trading at 17X forward earnings. With a 23% long term growth rate, that gives a PEG ratio of .7. Anything under 1 is quite good in this environment. Expanding their retail presence in North America with 400 stores expected. Only 20% of revenues are coming from outside North America.
(A Top Pick October 17/13. Down 2.27%.) The concerns are really about international markets and luxury purchases. However, only 15% of their revenues come from outside of North America. There was also concern about inventory built ups. His sources say that Michael Kors is still very hot with 20-30 year-olds. At today’s prices, you are getting this at .75 PEG ratio. Reporting in a couple of weeks, and if earnings are still on track and the momentum is still there with sales, this is a pretty cheap stock.
The timing as to when this started falling out of bed had nothing to do with oil prices, but was in the early to mid-summer. This was one of those fantastic 5-6 year run stocks. An incredibly high multiple company for many years. However, coming into 2014, the multiple was in the 30s. Now back to an 18 multiple. Same-store sales growth abroad is rapid, so they are growing in Asia and other places at 30%-40%, but on a much smaller base. He just recently bought this. His view is that it is still going to grow at 20%-25% and the valuation is reasonable again.
*Short* Not a valuation call, but a call on retail, and one in particular. Even management has guided towards lower earnings, lower margins and lower revenue. Struggling from a retail perspective, and retail in general is struggling. Thinks retailers are attractive Shorts overall. (Analysts’ price target is $40.)
Phenomenal company. Believes people will continue to have an affinity to them. Recent pullback presents a buying opportunity. In the long term, they will continue to deliver double-digit growth. They have yet to really penetrate Asia and Europe, and that is where the next goal is. Trading at about 22X forward earnings. Believes they will continue to earn high double-digit growth. It will be hard to find another company in the Consumer Discretionary space that has the pricing power and the growth that this company has.