Stock price when the opinion was issued
Alternative asset management is a hot industry. This type of company provide the financing and has the products to sell to institutional investors and retail investors. Likes the industry as a whole. You can't make a living wage with bonds, and equity valuations are high. We're in a multi-year trend of assets flowing into private equity, especially as interest rates come down.
His favourite in the space is BN.
Chart shows it's done well. Interest rates coming down will help. Strong markets helps get a good price when they sell assets. Tough aspect is that more of the large institutional investors and pension plans are involved in private equity. More competition means they may overpay for assets. When they get money it's locked in, so they don't face the same liquidity crises that hedge funds do.
Private equity (used to be called leveraged buyouts). An American version of Brookfield is a way to conceptualize it. Manage $640B of private equity. Organic growth bolstered by recent acquisition, which takes them into insurance and annuities. Rapidly growing capital markets business. Secular advantage of private market flows are outpacing public market flows. Yield is 0.6%.
(Analysts’ price target is $168.67)He looks at relative strength, head-to-head battles and who's winning. As money flew out of financials, he sold his position. Big correction at the beginning of February. Picked up support ~$110, similar to the August low. Starting to come back. If it can break out above the trend line ~$125, looks encouraging.
Knows the company well. For these companies, do they have sufficient cash if we enter a recession so you can deploy capital to buy at a lower prices (and sell as the economy improves). It's a good franchise, but he'd prefer buying Brookfield and some European names to avoid paying an extra premium.