Stockchase Opinions

John O'Connell, CFA JP Morgan Chase & Co JPM-N TOP PICK Dec 13, 2018

Yield is now 3.2% trading at 11 times earnings. Was at $120 not long ago. They generate so much excess cash flow from their earnings that could probably return 4-5% of their capital in terms of stock repurchases. One of the best-run banks in the world. International presence with a lot of opportunities. (Analysts’ price target is $123.85)
$101.120

Stock price when the opinion was issued

Financial Services
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BUY
JPM vs Citi -- he owns both

Is the biggest and best of the money centre banks, but trades at 2.2x book value vs. Citi's 0.7-0.8x book. Citi was punished but is under a new CEO. Citi is less exposed to international markets and that volatility. Numbers are showing positive. He likes both. But JPM is fully valued though continues to do good things. The other is a little riskier, but more potential upside.

BUY

Just reported a clean top and bottom line beat. Loan loss provisions were lower than expected. Net interest income came in light. All businesses performed well, including commercial/investment banking beat handily while wealth management was in line. They raised full-year net interest income forecast by $1 billion. The CEO did cite risks from tariffs. 

HOLD

Best bank in the world. Raised dividend twice last year. They win everywhere. 

BUY

Could buy a dividend stock that's down, but there's no indication that that's a precondition for success. This one's at fresh all-time highs, and that's what good companies do over time. "Buy high, sell higher" is a better mantra than "buy low, sell high". 

BUY

Stable performance and gaining market share in the financial sector. Core holding. Tough to bet against Jamie Dimon. Taking market share from close competitors. Market cap approaching $1T, more than double its closest competitors. Buy today, hold long term.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 04/24, Up 35%)

Leader. Raised dividend twice in last year. Best technology platform. Most solid balance sheet. Stock's behaving as expected. He'd buy here.

SELL ON STRENGTH

He trimmed, selling into strength. He's up 38% in this the past few months. Trimmed for pure risk management. Still believes in JPM.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

A top bank run by a great CEO. Worries over small US regionals have boosted inflows into JPM. Valuation is reasonable.

COMMENT

Its reaping the rewards over the years is paying off. Bank of America hasn't had a big windfall or payday and is trying to emulate JP Morgan. He advised the caller to stick with Bank of America relative to JP Morgan and Wells Fargo.

BUY

It is a leader with a dominant position and a good management team that knows what they are doing. It is always expensive and others have a cheaper valuation but this is a core holding.